EUR/GBP – 2H – BUY
BUY
72%
▲ Bullish 72% (30.67)
▼ Bearish 28% (11.77)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/GBP
Full calendar- August 18, 2026GBPUnemployment Rate (Jun)●●●Forecast 4.9%Previous 4.9%in 3 days
- August 18, 2026GBPClaimant Count Change (Jul)●●●Previous 6.7in 3 days
- August 18, 2026GBPEmployment Change (Jun)●●●Forecast 15Previous 147in 3 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.78 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.62 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▲ | Triple Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 1.99 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 1.98 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.96 |
| ▼ | MACD Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | MAMA Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.35 |
| ▲ | Inverted Hammer | candlestick | 1.26 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The signal is a BUY, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend trade.
- Multiple indicators (Trendline Break Down, Double/Triple Top Retreat Up, AROON Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down) suggest bearish momentum is waning.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.85524 and support at 0.85315; a break above resistance could signal a reversal, while a break below support invalidates the signal.
- Strength is moderate (72% probability), so consider this a short-term opportunity with tight stops.
The EUR/GBP 2H signal is a BUY, yet the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish. The signal is driven by a cluster of counter-trend indicators: a Trendline Break Down, Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up, AROON Cross Down, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, MACD Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and others. These suggest that the bearish momentum may be exhausting, with multiple patterns indicating a potential reversal or at least a temporary bounce. The confluence of chart patterns and oscillators turning up (BOP, STOCHF) hints at buying pressure emerging, but the trend scores remain low (2/5 on lower timeframes, 3/5 on 2H and 4H, and 1/5 on higher timeframes), indicating that any bullish move is likely a correction within a larger downtrend.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.85524 and support at 0.85315. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. Given the moderate strength (72% probability) and the conflicting trend alignment, traders should treat this as a short-term counter-trend opportunity, with tight risk management. The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish but choppy, suggesting the downtrend may be losing momentum, which could allow for a bounce. However, without a clear shift in the higher timeframe trend, the upside may be limited.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.85524 and support at 0.85315. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. Given the moderate strength (72% probability) and the conflicting trend alignment, traders should treat this as a short-term counter-trend opportunity, with tight risk management. The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish but choppy, suggesting the downtrend may be losing momentum, which could allow for a bounce. However, without a clear shift in the higher timeframe trend, the upside may be limited.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple reversal patterns (Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up) and oscillator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF) indicating potential bullish momentum shift.
- ▲ The bearish trend is strong on 2H and 4H but weaker on higher timeframes, suggesting the downtrend may be losing steam.
- ▲ The signal includes a Trendline Break Down, which often precedes a bounce or reversal.
- ▲ Nearest support at 0.85315 is nearby, providing a potential floor for a bounce.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The dominant trend is bearish on all timeframes, so the BUY signal is counter-trend and may fail if the downtrend resumes.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish but choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction; a strong bearish push could overwhelm the bullish signals.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.85315, the signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely continues.
- ▼ The signal strength is only moderate (72%), and the trend scores are low, so the bullish move may be short-lived.
Symbol
EUR/GBP
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
72%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-14 14:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.85524 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 0.85794 | 2026-08-07 |
| R3 | 0.85816 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 0.85315 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 0.85296 | 2026-07-24 |
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