EUR/GBP – 2H – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (1.64)
▼ Bearish 96% (40.51)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/GBP
Full calendar- August 18, 2026GBPAverage Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) (Jun)●●○Forecast 3.8Previous 4.3in 2 days
- August 18, 2026GBPUnemployment Rate (Jun)●●●Forecast 4.9%Previous 4.9%in 2 days
- August 18, 2026GBPClaimant Count Change (Jul)●●●Previous 6.7in 2 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.78 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.34 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | SAR Flip Bullish | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▼ | High Wave Bearish | candlestick | 0.84 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.72 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart, including a trendline break and multiple momentum crossovers, points to continued downside.
- The 2H and 4H trends are solidly bearish, aligning with the signal, but shorter timeframes are bullish, so expect possible chop or pullback.
- Watch the 0.85315 support: a break could accelerate selling, while a move back above 0.85524 would weaken the bearish case.
- The high signal probability (96%) and very strong strength reflect exceptional confluence, but always manage risk.
The EUR/GBP 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a cascade of momentum and trend indicators confirming downside pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Down and CMO Zero Cross Down indicate selling dominance, while the RSI Midline Cross Down and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down reinforce bearish momentum. The EMA 200 Retreat Down and SAR Flip Bullish (a bearish SAR signal) add to the confluence. The 2H and 4H timeframes both show solid bearish trends (3/5), aligning with the signal's direction, although shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, suggesting possible near-term pullback or consolidation. The nearest resistance at 0.85524 and support at 0.85315 define the immediate trading range; a break below support could extend the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI) have crossed below their midlines, confirming bearish pressure.
- ▼ The EMA 200 retreat and SAR flip add trend-following confirmation, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
- ▼ The 2H and 4H timeframes both show solid bearish trends, aligning with the signal direction.
- ▼ A dense cluster of signals across indicator, trendline, and candlestick groups increases the likelihood of follow-through.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce or sideways consolidation against the bearish signal.
- ▲ The 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes show only choppy/sideways bearish trends (1/5), indicating weak higher-timeframe momentum.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 0.85524 resistance, the bearish setup could be invalidated, and the trend may reverse.
- ▲ The SAR Flip Bullish, while part of the bearish cluster, is a contrarian signal that could indicate a potential reversal if price stabilizes.
Symbol
EUR/GBP
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 18:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.85524 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 0.85794 | 2026-08-07 |
| R3 | 0.85816 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 0.85315 | 2026-08-12 |
| S2 | 0.85296 | 2026-07-24 |
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