EUR/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (29.16)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 1 day
- August 17, 2026USDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 1 day
- August 17, 2026USDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 2 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 2.03 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.99 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.86 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.86 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.86 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.12 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.08 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals align on the 2H chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
- The overall trend is still bullish, so this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend.
- Key levels: support at 1.15114 and resistance at 1.15625 are crucial for direction.
- Watch for a break of support to confirm further downside, or a bounce if support holds.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the EUR/USD 2-hour chart, including Trendline Retreat Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Retreat Down. These signals collectively indicate a strong downward push, with the trendline and chart pattern retreats suggesting that price has reversed from key support levels and is now heading lower. The confluence of multiple pattern and indicator retreats amplifies the bearish case, pointing to a potential continuation of the selloff.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, though mostly choppy/sideways with weak trend scores. This creates a conflict: the 2-hour signal is strongly bearish, but higher timeframes are not confirming a downtrend. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.15114; a break below could open the door to further downside, while a failure to break could lead to a bounce. Resistance at 1.15625 is the first hurdle for any recovery. Traders should treat this signal as a short-term bearish move within a larger bullish context, and watch for confirmation from lower timeframes.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bullish, though mostly choppy/sideways with weak trend scores. This creates a conflict: the 2-hour signal is strongly bearish, but higher timeframes are not confirming a downtrend. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.15114; a break below could open the door to further downside, while a failure to break could lead to a bounce. Resistance at 1.15625 is the first hurdle for any recovery. Traders should treat this signal as a short-term bearish move within a larger bullish context, and watch for confirmation from lower timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of numerous bearish signals (trendline, chart patterns, indicators) strengthens the sell case.
- ▼ Fibonacci retreat signal suggests price is retracing from a key level, aligning with the bearish move.
- ▼ Stochastic RSI cross down and BOP zero cross down indicate momentum shifting in favor of sellers.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a reversal.
- ▲ The nearest support at 1.15114 may hold, causing a bounce and invalidating the bearish signal.
- ▲ Trend scores are weak across timeframes, suggesting the bearish move may lack follow-through.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.15625, the bearish signal would be negated.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.15625 | 2026-08-12 |
| R2 | 1.15804 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.15114 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 1.14999 | 2026-08-03 |
| S3 | 1.14548 | 2026-07-31 |
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