EUR/USD – 30M – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (35.60)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 1 day
- August 17, 2026USDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 1 day
- August 17, 2026USDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 2 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.47 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.87 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MUPVery strong trend
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on the 30M chart: trendline break, BOP crossover, and multiple moving-average retreats.
- Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all bullish, supporting the 30M trend.
- Key support at 1.15238 is the invalidation level; holding above it keeps the bullish bias intact.
- No defined resistance, so upside may be open, but watch for momentum fading.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, with supporting momentum from STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Entry, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200, MA). This confluence indicates strong buying pressure and a shift in short-term sentiment. The 30-minute trend is very strong (4/5), and the broader picture is supportive: all higher timeframes from 1H to 1D are bullish, albeit with trend-forming strength (2/5) on the higher frames. The alignment suggests that the current bullish move may have room to extend, but the higher timeframes are not yet in full trend mode, so the move could be part of a larger consolidation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.15238, which serves as a critical floor for the bullish thesis. If price holds above this level, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. Resistance is not defined, leaving room for price discovery. The combination of a trendline break, momentum crossover, and oversold entry points suggests a high-probability long setup. However, traders should monitor the 15-minute bearish trend (3/5) as a potential near-term headwind, and any failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish signal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.15238, which serves as a critical floor for the bullish thesis. If price holds above this level, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. Resistance is not defined, leaving room for price discovery. The combination of a trendline break, momentum crossover, and oversold entry points suggests a high-probability long setup. However, traders should monitor the 15-minute bearish trend (3/5) as a potential near-term headwind, and any failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Up confirm bullish momentum shift.
- ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200, MA) indicate strong buying at key levels.
- ▲ STOCH KD Cross Up and WILLR OS Entry signal oversold conditions turning bullish.
- ▲ Higher timeframe trends (1H to 1D) are all bullish, providing macro support.
Risk Factors
- ▼ 15-minute trend is bearish (3/5), which could lead to short-term pullbacks.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the bullish move may lack full trend strength.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 1.15238, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the price fails to make new highs after the initial breakout.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 1.15238 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 1.15114 | 2026-08-13 |
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