USD/CAD 4H SELL

· 19 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 56% historisch
⚡ Confluence +27%
▲ Bullish 5% (2.43) ▼ Bearish 95% (46.89)
USD/CAD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • August 17, 2026CADCore Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 2 days
  • August 17, 2026CADInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous -0.4%in 2 days
  • August 17, 2026CADInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.6%Previous 2.8%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rectangle chart_pattern 4.08
MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 3.07
MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.91
MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.84
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.78
DEMA Break Down indicator 2.54
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.72
RSI OS Entry indicator 1.57
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.54
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.53
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.25
HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.23
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on USD/CAD 4H with multiple confirmations.
  • All timeframes align bearish, supporting the downtrend.
  • Key resistance at 1.40799 is the level to watch for a potential bounce.
  • Oversold conditions may trigger a short-term pullback, but trend remains down.
The USD/CAD 4H signal has fired a SELL with very strong probability (95%), driven by a confluence of bearish signals. A Trendline Break Down and Rectangle pattern breakdown confirm a bearish continuation, while the DEMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down all align to the downside. The RSI OS Entry suggests the market may be oversold, but the STOCH KD Cross Up hints at a potential short-term bounce; however, the overall momentum remains firmly bearish.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with extremely strong trends on the 15m and 30m (5/5), very strong on the 1h (4/5), and solid on the 4H and 8H (3/5). This alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 1.40799, which now acts as a key barrier for any upside correction. With no immediate support defined, the downside could be open, but traders should watch for any reversal signals near the resistance or a break back above it, which would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of trendline break, rectangle breakdown, and multiple moving average retreats.
  • Strong trend alignment across all timeframes, with extremely strong on lower timeframes.
  • High probability (95%) and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • RSI oversold and STOCH cross up could lead to a temporary bounce.
  • No defined support level, making downside targets unclear.
  • If price breaks above 1.40799, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • Lower timeframe momentum may be stretched, increasing pullback risk.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-14 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40799 2026-08-04
R2 1.41286 2026-07-28
R3 1.42385 2026-07-06

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