USD/CHF – 1H – SELL
SELL
84%
▲ Bullish 16% (5.90)
▼ Bearish 84% (29.80)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 1 day
- August 17, 2026USDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 1 day
- August 17, 2026USDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 2 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Triple Top | chart_pattern | 3.15 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 2.72 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.63 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.06 |
| ▲ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.80 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | TRIMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.11 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish signals dominate on the 1H, with multiple top patterns and momentum crossovers aligning for a sell.
- The trend is mixed across timeframes, so the sell is likely a correction within a larger bullish structure.
- Watch the support at 0.81121; a break below it would strengthen the bearish case.
- The Golden Cross on the EMA is a bullish counter-signal that could limit downside in the short term.
The 1H USD/CHF chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Double Top, Triple Top, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and TRIMA Retreat Down. The confluence of these patterns and indicators suggests a strong bearish bias, with the probability rated at 83% and strength marked as strong. The multiple top patterns indicate a clear rejection at resistance, while the momentum oscillators confirm the downward pressure. The Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA, however, is a bullish signal that may temper the bearish outlook, but it is outweighed by the sheer number of bearish triggers.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15m and 30m are bullish and forming, while the 2H to 12H timeframes are bearish and choppy/sideways, and the 1D is bullish but also choppy. This mixed picture suggests that the bearish signal on the 1H is part of a broader corrective move within a longer-term uptrend. The nearest support at 0.81121 is the key level to watch; a break below it would confirm the bearish continuation, while a bounce could signal a false breakout. Resistance at 0.81467 is the immediate barrier for any upside reversal.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15m and 30m are bullish and forming, while the 2H to 12H timeframes are bearish and choppy/sideways, and the 1D is bullish but also choppy. This mixed picture suggests that the bearish signal on the 1H is part of a broader corrective move within a longer-term uptrend. The nearest support at 0.81121 is the key level to watch; a break below it would confirm the bearish continuation, while a bounce could signal a false breakout. Resistance at 0.81467 is the immediate barrier for any upside reversal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of Double Top and Triple Top patterns, both classic reversal signals.
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) crossing down, confirming bearish pressure.
- ▼ Trendline break up and TRIMA retreat down add to the bearish confluence.
- ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (83%) suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA is a bullish signal that could counteract the bearish momentum.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (15m, 30m, 1D) are bullish, which may limit the downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ If price fails to break below support at 0.81121, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on most timeframes indicate a lack of clear direction, increasing the chance of false signals.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
84%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81467 | 2026-08-13 |
| S1 | 0.81121 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 0.80815 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 0.80561 | 2026-08-07 |