USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

2026-08-14 16:00 UTC · 19 hours ago

BUY

69%

▲ BUY

MODERATE

Intraday

Prognose: 27% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 69% (30.32) ▼ Bearish 31% (13.35)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TomorrowJPYGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q2)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 1 day
23:50TomorrowJPYGDP Growth Annualized (Q2)●●○Forecast 2%Previous 1.8%in 1 day
12:30August 17, 2026USDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 2 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.09
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.99
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.50
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.46
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.33
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals on the 2H chart suggest a potential bounce, but they run counter to the prevailing bearish trend across all timeframes.
Key levels: resistance at 159.560 and support at 159.019 are critical for direction.
The ADX indicates strong trend, but the trend is bearish; the bullish signals may be a retracement within a larger downtrend.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish reversal; a drop below support would invalidate the setup.

The 2H chart for USD/JPY has fired multiple bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, a Double Top pattern with a subsequent Retreat Up, and a Fibonacci Break of the downtrend at 0%. These are complemented by an ADX indicating a strong trend, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, with support-level retreat adding confluence. Together, they suggest a potential upward reversal or bounce within the broader bearish context.

However, the trend across all timeframes from 15m to 1d is bearish, with the 2H and 4H trends still forming (2/5 strength). This creates a conflict: the signal is counter-trend on higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 159.560 is a key level to watch; a break above could confirm the bullish momentum, while failure to hold above support at 159.019 could invalidate the setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals: Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, and Fibonacci Break at 0%.
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicates momentum, and BOP Zero Cross Up suggests buying pressure emerging.
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up signals potential upward momentum in the short term.
▲ Support level retreat up indicates buyers stepping in at a key support zone.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish, with the 2H and 4H trends only forming, so the bullish signal is counter-trend and may be a retracement.
▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 159.560, the bullish momentum could fade.
▼ A drop below support at 159.019 would invalidate the bullish signals and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The probability is 71% but strength is moderate, indicating uncertainty; conflicting higher timeframe trends add risk.