XRP/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL
91%
▲ Bullish 9% (3.01)
▼ Bearish 91% (30.32)
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Signal evolution
Events for XRP/USDT
Full calendar- August 19, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Aug/14)●●●in 4 days
- August 19, 2026USDFOMC Minutes●●●in 4 days
- August 20, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims (Aug/15)●●●Forecast 201in 5 days
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.61 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.10 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 1.69 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.44 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Down | chart_pattern | 1.43 |
| ▼ | Closing Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 1.13 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: multiple trendline breaks, double/triple bottom retreats, and momentum zero-cross downs all align.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on the 2H to 12H charts.
- Key support at 0.99150; a break below could accelerate downside. Resistance at 1.04880 is the invalidation level.
- Shorter timeframes are choppy, so expect possible whipsaws; wait for confirmation on the 4H close.
The 4H XRP/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Break Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, and multiple zero-cross downs on momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR). This confluence of chart patterns, trendline breaks, and momentum shifts points to a strong selling bias. The trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes from 15m up to 1d, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 2H through 12H frames, indicating broad alignment. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 0.99150; a break below could open further downside, while resistance at 1.04880 is the key level to watch for any bounce or reversal.
Traders should note that although the signals are very strong (91% probability), the shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, which may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws. The bearish momentum is supported by the zero-cross downs and the retreat from double and triple bottom patterns, suggesting that buyers have failed to hold those levels. However, the invalidation level to monitor is the nearest resistance at 1.04880; if price reclaims that level, the bearish thesis weakens. The overall trend structure remains bearish, but caution is advised due to the mixed short-term momentum.
Traders should note that although the signals are very strong (91% probability), the shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, which may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws. The bearish momentum is supported by the zero-cross downs and the retreat from double and triple bottom patterns, suggesting that buyers have failed to hold those levels. However, the invalidation level to monitor is the nearest resistance at 1.04880; if price reclaims that level, the bearish thesis weakens. The overall trend structure remains bearish, but caution is advised due to the mixed short-term momentum.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to 1d) supports the bearish bias.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple chart patterns (Double/Triple Bottom Retreat Down) and trendline breaks.
- ▼ Momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing zero down confirms bearish momentum.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (91% probability) and solid trend scores on higher timeframes.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.04880, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the longer-term bearish trend may not be fully established.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if price holds above support and forms a higher low, leading to a potential reversal.
Symbol
XRP/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
91%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 16:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.04880 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 1.09330 | 2026-08-02 |
| R3 | 1.09500 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.99150 | 2026-08-11 |
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