USD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.60)
▼ Bearish 95% (69.95)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 56m
- TodayUSDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 2h
- TodayUSDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.09 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.56 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.18 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.07 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▲ | MACD Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.33 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.06 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on USD/JPY 2H with high probability (91%) and very strong strength.
- Multiple signals align: Double Top, Bearish Engulfing, Fibonacci Break DownTrend, and bearish momentum indicators.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trends on higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D).
- Key levels: resistance at 159.560, support at 159.019.
The USD/JPY 2H signal is strongly bearish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical signals. A Double Top pattern, Bearish Engulfing candlestick, and Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) all align to confirm downward momentum. Momentum indicators such as the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit reinforce the bearish bias, while the EMA 200 Retreat Down suggests price is pulling back from a key moving average. The MACD Zero Cross Up, though typically bullish, appears here as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, which can precede further declines.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trends on the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D, and forming trends on the 30M, 2H, and 4H. This alignment supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.560 and support at 159.019. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trends on the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D, and forming trends on the 30M, 2H, and 4H. This alignment supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.560 and support at 159.019. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: bearish on all, with solid trends on 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D.
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top, Bearish Engulfing) and Fibonacci Break DownTrend.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) all point to bearish continuation.
- ▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicates rejection from a key moving average.
Risk Factors
- ▲ MACD Zero Cross Up could signal a short-term bounce, potentially slowing the decline.
- ▲ The 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways, which may cause erratic price action.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 159.560 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ If support at 159.019 holds, the pair may consolidate before further downside.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-14 22:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.56000 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 163.90400 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 159.01900 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 158.58100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |
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