USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.60) ▼ Bearish 95% (69.95)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
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Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Double Top chart_pattern 3.09
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.56
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.18
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.07
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.83
WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.73
MACD Zero Cross Up indicator 1.53
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.33
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.06

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on USD/JPY 2H with high probability (91%) and very strong strength.
  • Multiple signals align: Double Top, Bearish Engulfing, Fibonacci Break DownTrend, and bearish momentum indicators.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trends on higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D).
  • Key levels: resistance at 159.560, support at 159.019.
The USD/JPY 2H signal is strongly bearish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical signals. A Double Top pattern, Bearish Engulfing candlestick, and Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) all align to confirm downward momentum. Momentum indicators such as the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit reinforce the bearish bias, while the EMA 200 Retreat Down suggests price is pulling back from a key moving average. The MACD Zero Cross Up, though typically bullish, appears here as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, which can precede further declines.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trends on the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D, and forming trends on the 30M, 2H, and 4H. This alignment supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.560 and support at 159.019. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across timeframes: bearish on all, with solid trends on 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D.
  • Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top, Bearish Engulfing) and Fibonacci Break DownTrend.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) all point to bearish continuation.
  • EMA 200 Retreat Down indicates rejection from a key moving average.
Risk Factors
  • MACD Zero Cross Up could signal a short-term bounce, potentially slowing the decline.
  • The 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways, which may cause erratic price action.
  • A break above resistance at 159.560 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • If support at 159.019 holds, the pair may consolidate before further downside.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-14 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.56000 2026-08-13
R2 163.90400 2026-07-29
S1 159.01900 2026-08-13
S2 158.58100 2026-08-12
S3 156.67200 2026-08-07

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