EUR/USD – 4H – BUY
BUY
84%
▲ Bullish 84% (16.43)
▼ Bearish 16% (3.25)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayEURConsumer Confidence (Aug)●●○Forecast -16.7Previous -15.9in 3h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.74 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.55 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.47 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 2.47 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▲ | DEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.59 |
| ▲ | Long Line Bullish | candlestick | 1.18 |
Trend Context
15MUPVery strong trend
30MUPExtremely strong trend
1HUPVery strong trend
2HUPVery strong trend
4HUPVery strong trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful confluence of bullish signals fired on the 4H chart, including a trendline break and ascending triangle completion.
- All timeframes are aligned bullish, with the strongest momentum on the 30-minute chart.
- Support at 1.15114 is the key level to watch; holding above it keeps the bullish case valid.
- With no nearby resistance, the upside is open, but a break below support would invalidate the setup.
The EUR/USD 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Ascending Triangle completion, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, KAMA, MA) that confirm a strong upward push. The MAMA PRICE Break Up and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up add confluence from higher timeframes, while the presence of Fibonacci and candlestick patterns in the signal groups reinforces the bullish case. This is a textbook multi-factor breakout setup, with probability rated at 100% and very strong strength.
Across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, the trend is uniformly bullish, with trend scores ranging from solid (3/5) on the higher timeframes to extremely strong (5/5) on the 30-minute. This broad alignment suggests the move is not a short-term fluke but a coordinated shift in momentum. The nearest support sits at 1.15114, which now acts as a critical floor; as long as price holds above this level, the bullish bias remains intact. With no immediate resistance overhead, the path of least resistance is upward, though traders should watch for any sign of exhaustion or a break below support.
Across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, the trend is uniformly bullish, with trend scores ranging from solid (3/5) on the higher timeframes to extremely strong (5/5) on the 30-minute. This broad alignment suggests the move is not a short-term fluke but a coordinated shift in momentum. The nearest support sits at 1.15114, which now acts as a critical floor; as long as price holds above this level, the bullish bias remains intact. With no immediate resistance overhead, the path of least resistance is upward, though traders should watch for any sign of exhaustion or a break below support.
Catalysts
- ▲ Uniform bullish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to daily, with strong to extremely strong trend scores.
- ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) confirm the pullback was bought and momentum is resuming.
- ▲ Completion of an Ascending Triangle and a Trendline Break Up provide classic chart pattern confluence.
- ▲ High-probability rating (100%) and very strong strength signal indicate exceptional alignment of indicators.
Risk Factors
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.15114 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp reversal.
- ▼ While all timeframes are bullish, the highest timeframe (daily) shows only a solid trend (3/5), suggesting the longer-term momentum is less intense.
- ▼ The extremely strong short-term trend could be overextended, raising the risk of a pullback or consolidation before further upside.
- ▼ No resistance levels are defined, so the move could face unexpected selling pressure at psychological or round numbers.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
84%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 1.15114 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 1.13529 | 2026-07-28 |
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