GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
93%
▲ Bullish 7% (4.54)
▼ Bearish 93% (64.12)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.58 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.42 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.99 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.88 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.91 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on 2H with multiple indicators and trendline break.
- Shorter timeframes (15m-1H) are in solid downtrends, supporting the sell signal.
- Watch nearest resistance at 216.214 as invalidation; nearest support at 214.779 as target.
- Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are choppy but bearish, so trend may still be developing.
The 2H GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA). This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to a strong selling pressure building on the 2H timeframe. The bearish alignment is supported by a consistent downtrend across the 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes, all showing solid to very strong trend scores, while higher timeframes (4H, 8H) remain choppy but are also bearish, suggesting that the broader trend is not yet fully established but is leaning lower.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 216.214, which now serves as a potential invalidation zone if price reclaims it, and the nearest support at 214.779, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines, but a failure to hold the trendline break and a move back above resistance would negate the signal. The 96% probability and very strong strength rating indicate a high-confidence setup, yet traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum fade or a reversal on the higher timeframes.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 216.214, which now serves as a potential invalidation zone if price reclaims it, and the nearest support at 214.779, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support could open the door for further declines, but a failure to hold the trendline break and a move back above resistance would negate the signal. The 96% probability and very strong strength rating indicate a high-confidence setup, yet traders should remain vigilant for any signs of momentum fade or a reversal on the higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple trendline breaks and moving average retreats align on the 2H timeframe.
- ▼ Bearish trend scores on 15m, 30m, and 1H confirm the short-term momentum.
- ▼ Consistent bearish bias across all timeframes, even if higher ones are choppy.
- ▼ High probability (96%) and very strong strength rating from the signal engine.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframe (4H, 8H) are choppy, which could lead to range-bound price action.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 216.214, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF and BOP indicators turn back up.
- ▲ Nearby support at 214.779 may cause a bounce, limiting downside.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.21400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 214.77900 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 214.53200 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
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