USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 1 day ago
SELL
96%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +51%
▲ Bullish 4% (2.03) ▼ Bearish 96% (44.51)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (62%) fibonacci 2.43
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.20
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.07
T3 Retreat Down indicator 2.00
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.98
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.96
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.84
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.54
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.14
SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators and patterns align on the 2H timeframe.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with 30m and 1h showing very strong momentum.
  • Key levels: resistance at 159.77400, support at 156.67200.
  • Probability of 96% and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the move.
The 2H USD/JPY signal is heavily bearish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, backed by a cluster of indicators including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry. The retreat patterns across MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and T3 further confirm downside momentum. This confluence suggests a well-established bearish move, with price likely to target the nearest support at 156.67200, while resistance sits at 159.77400.

Across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the trend is consistently bearish, with the 30m and 1h showing very strong trends (4/5) and others solid (3/5). This alignment across multiple horizons strengthens the signal's reliability. The trendline break and candlestick patterns add to the bearish case. However, the proximity to support suggests limited downside room, and a break below 156.67200 could open further declines, while a bounce from support might trigger a pullback.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, all bearish.
  • Confluence of multiple signal groups: indicator, trendline, fibonacci, candlestick.
  • Break of trendline and retreat patterns suggest sustained selling pressure.
  • Stochastic and Williams %R confirm oversold conditions, but momentum still down.
Risk Factors
  • Price is near support at 156.67200; a bounce could invalidate the short-term bearish move.
  • Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) might lead to a technical rebound.
  • If price breaks above resistance at 159.77400, the bearish signal would be negated.
  • Higher timeframe (1D) trend is solid but not very strong, so momentum could fade.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.77400 2026-08-18
S1 156.67200 2026-08-07
S2 155.22400 2026-08-03

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