USD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (2.03)
▼ Bearish 96% (44.51)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (62%) | fibonacci | 2.43 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.07 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.14 |
| ▼ | SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down | indicator3 | 0.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators and patterns align on the 2H timeframe.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with 30m and 1h showing very strong momentum.
- Key levels: resistance at 159.77400, support at 156.67200.
- Probability of 96% and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the move.
The 2H USD/JPY signal is heavily bearish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, backed by a cluster of indicators including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OS Entry. The retreat patterns across MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and T3 further confirm downside momentum. This confluence suggests a well-established bearish move, with price likely to target the nearest support at 156.67200, while resistance sits at 159.77400.
Across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the trend is consistently bearish, with the 30m and 1h showing very strong trends (4/5) and others solid (3/5). This alignment across multiple horizons strengthens the signal's reliability. The trendline break and candlestick patterns add to the bearish case. However, the proximity to support suggests limited downside room, and a break below 156.67200 could open further declines, while a bounce from support might trigger a pullback.
Across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the trend is consistently bearish, with the 30m and 1h showing very strong trends (4/5) and others solid (3/5). This alignment across multiple horizons strengthens the signal's reliability. The trendline break and candlestick patterns add to the bearish case. However, the proximity to support suggests limited downside room, and a break below 156.67200 could open further declines, while a bounce from support might trigger a pullback.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, all bearish.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups: indicator, trendline, fibonacci, candlestick.
- ▼ Break of trendline and retreat patterns suggest sustained selling pressure.
- ▼ Stochastic and Williams %R confirm oversold conditions, but momentum still down.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Price is near support at 156.67200; a bounce could invalidate the short-term bearish move.
- ▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) might lead to a technical rebound.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 159.77400, the bearish signal would be negated.
- ▲ Higher timeframe (1D) trend is solid but not very strong, so momentum could fade.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.77400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 155.22400 | 2026-08-03 |
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