USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

2026-08-20 06:00 UTC · 51 minutes ago

SELL

97%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +47%

▲ Bullish 3% (1.65) ▼ Bearish 97% (51.65)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDJobless Claims 4-week Average (Aug/15)●●○Forecast 200in 7h
12:30TodayUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 7h
12:30TodayCADPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous -1.4%in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.35
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.06
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple confirmations from trendline breaks, momentum, and moving averages.
All timeframes align bearish, reinforcing the downtrend.
Watch resistance at 1.39098; a break above would signal a reversal.
RSI oversold suggests a possible short-term bounce, but the trend remains down.

The 1H USD/CAD signal is firmly bearish, backed by a cluster of technical indicators and trendline breaks. The Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while RSI OS Entry suggests momentum is strong but potentially overextended. The DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA retreats all point to a pullback within a broader downtrend, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish with solid trend scores (3/5) on most frames, and very strong on the 30m (4/5). This alignment suggests the bearish move is well-supported. The nearest resistance at 1.39098 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. With no immediate support, the downside could be open, but traders should be cautious of potential bounces given the RSI oversold condition.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes (15m to 1d) is bearish, with solid to very strong trend scores.
▼ Multiple indicators fire in the same direction: Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and moving average retreats.
▼ The combination of trendline, indicator, and candlestick signals adds confluence.
▼ The 30m timeframe shows very strong trend (4/5), indicating strong momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ RSI OS Entry suggests the market is oversold, increasing the risk of a short-term bounce.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.39098 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The 1H trend score is only 3/5, indicating a solid but not extremely strong trend; momentum could fade.
▲ With no immediate support, the downside may be limited if support forms quickly.