USD/JPY 12H SELL

· 11 hours ago
SELL
64%
▼ SELL
WEAK
Position
Prognose: 36% historisch
⚡ Confluence +14%
▲ Bullish 36% (6.16) ▼ Bearish 64% (11.10)
USD/JPY  ·  12H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.51
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.50
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.36
EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross indicator 2.18
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.75
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.67

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (Trendline Break Down, Bear Flag, Death Cross) align with a solid downtrend across higher timeframes (4H to 1D).
  • The nearest support at 155.224 is the key level to watch; a break below it would confirm further downside.
  • Short-term indicators (CCI OS Exit, HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up) hint at a possible oversold bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.
  • Resistance at 163.984 is the invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish setup.
The USD/JPY 12H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, a Bear Flag pattern, and a Death Cross (EMA 50/200), all aligning with a solid bearish trend across the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes. The CCI OS Exit suggests a short-term oversold bounce may be underway, but the HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up indicates a potential short-term bullish phase within the larger downtrend. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) signals a retracement that has broken above a key Fibonacci level, but the overall bearish structure remains intact.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 163.984 and support at 155.224. A break below the support would confirm continued downside, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of multiple bearish signals across timeframes strengthens the case for continued selling, but the weak signal strength and the short-term bullish indicators warrant caution. Traders should watch for a potential bounce at support or a decisive break below it to confirm the next leg lower.
Catalysts
  • Strong bearish trend alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
  • Confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, Bear Flag, and Death Cross.
  • Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) indicates a retracement that has not yet reversed the primary downtrend.
  • The Bear Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the prior downtrend after a brief consolidation.
Risk Factors
  • Weak signal strength (64% probability) and 'weak' strength rating reduce confidence.
  • Short-term bullish signals (CCI OS Exit, HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up) could trigger a bounce that stalls the decline.
  • The 2H timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which could conflict with the larger bearish trend.
  • A move above the nearest resistance at 163.984 would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to a reversal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Probability 64%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-08-20 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03
S2 155.03600 2026-05-06

Tags

Similar Signals