AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-08-21 15:30 UTC 30 days ago

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 4.5 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 10.0 % vs 9.2 % (Forex, 110 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Symmetrical Trianglestate only	chart_pattern	3.95
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	Trendline Retreat Downstate only	trendline	1.32
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.95
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.69
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.59

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A bearish cluster on the 30M chart signals a potential short-term pullback.
Higher timeframes (15M-4H) are bullish, so this may be a correction within an uptrend.
Watch the 113.02600 support — a break confirms bearish momentum, a hold could lead to a bounce.
The daily trend is bearish, adding weight to the short-term sell signal.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals — Trendline Retreat Down, Symmetrical Triangle, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, Bearish Harami Cross, Gapping Down Doji, and Tweezers Top — suggesting a short-term pullback or reversal. While higher timeframes (15m to 4h) remain bullish, the daily trend is bearish, and this confluence of bearish patterns on the 30m could mark the start of a corrective move. The nearest support at 113.02600 is the key level to watch; a break below would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold could see the pair resume its broader uptrend.

Traders should treat this as a tactical short within a larger bullish context. The moderate strength and 65% probability indicate a decent edge, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution. The symmetrical triangle and tweezers top suggest a potential reversal zone, while the BOP and stochastic crosses confirm selling pressure. The immediate focus is on whether price respects the 113.02600 support; a decisive break could open the door to further downside, but a bounce would negate the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple pattern confluence: Trendline Retreat, Symmetrical Triangle, Tweezers Top, and candlestick patterns align bearish.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) confirm selling pressure.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, providing a broader context for the short-term sell.
▼ Gapping Down Doji and Bearish Harami Cross suggest a shift in sentiment.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15M-4H) are bullish, which could overpower the 30M bearish signal.
▲ The nearest support at 113.02600 may hold, causing a false breakdown and a rebound.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the move may lack follow-through.
▲ A break above the symmetrical triangle's upper boundary would invalidate the bearish setup.