GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-08-21 13:30 UTC 30 days ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.51
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.51
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.45
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (62%)continuation	fibonacci	2.18
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation	trendline	2.00
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Downcontinuation	sr	1.95
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart with multiple retreat and crossover signals.
Lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Resistance at 217.04900 and support at 215.01800 are the key levels to watch.
Higher timeframes are bullish but choppy, which may limit downside momentum.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at current levels, with the 30M timeframe showing a forming downtrend (2/5) and the 15M timeframe already in a solid bearish trend (3/5). The alignment of these lower timeframes suggests momentum is building to the downside, and the signal's very strong strength and 100% probability underscore the conviction behind the move.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 217.04900 and support at 215.01800. The nearest resistance likely acted as the trigger zone for the retreat signals, and a break below support would confirm further downside. However, the higher timeframes (2H through 12H) remain bullish, albeit choppy, which could limit the bearish move. The daily timeframe is bearish but only trend forming, adding a mixed picture. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for continuation or reversal clues.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple trendline and moving-average retreat signals align on the 30M timeframe.
▼ BOP and STOCHRSI cross down confirm selling pressure and momentum shift.
▼ 15M timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, reinforcing the short-term direction.
▼ Signal strength is very strong with 100% probability, indicating high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
▲ A break above resistance at 217.04900 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 30M trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not be fully established.
▲ Choppy conditions on higher timeframes could cause false breakouts or whipsaws.