USD/JPY – 4H – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED
30 days ago
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downcontinuation | trendline | 1.83 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)continuation | fibonacci | 1.06 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.85 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.71 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on the higher timeframes.
- Multiple indicators confirm the sell signal, including a trendline break, Bollinger Band middle cross, and stochastic cross.
- Watch for a potential retest of the broken trendline or the 159.77400 resistance as a selling opportunity.
- The first downside target is the support at 158.59800; a break below could open further downside.
The USD/JPY 4H signal is firmly bearish, with a cluster of indicators confirming downside momentum. The Trendline Break Down and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, combined with a BOP Zero Cross Down, indicate that sellers are in control and that the price is breaking below key technical levels. The STOCH KD Cross Down adds to the bearish momentum, while the MA Retreat Down suggests that the moving average is now acting as resistance. The additional signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR Cross Up) might seem contradictory at first, but in this context they likely reflect a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend, which could offer a better entry for sellers. Overall, the confluence of these signals points to a continuation of the bearish move.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing a solid trend (3/5). The lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bearish but choppy, suggesting that the move may be in its early stages or that there is some near-term consolidation. The 2H is forming a trend, which aligns with the overall bearish picture. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.77400, which could act as a barrier if the price retraces, and the nearest support at 158.59800, which is the next downside target. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a break above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing a solid trend (3/5). The lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are bearish but choppy, suggesting that the move may be in its early stages or that there is some near-term consolidation. The 2H is forming a trend, which aligns with the overall bearish picture. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 159.77400, which could act as a barrier if the price retraces, and the nearest support at 158.59800, which is the next downside target. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a break above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with higher timeframes (4H to 1D) showing solid bearish trends.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signals: trendline break, BBANDS middle cross, and BOP zero cross all point to sustained selling pressure.
- ▼ The MA retreat down suggests that the moving average is now acting as resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias.
- ▼ The nearest support at 158.59800 is a clear level to watch; a break could accelerate the move.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are choppy and sideways, which could indicate a lack of momentum or a potential consolidation before the next leg down.
- ▲ The MOM, ROC, and ROCR cross up signals may indicate a short-term bounce, which could temporarily push price higher before resuming the downtrend.
- ▲ If the price breaks above the nearest resistance at 159.77400, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ The overall strength is moderate, so the move may not be as aggressive; watch for fading momentum on the 4H chart.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
80%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-21 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.77400 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 163.94700 | 2026-07-28 |
| R3 | 163.98400 | 2026-07-23 |
| S1 | 158.59800 | 2026-08-14 |
| S2 | 158.58100 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 156.67200 | 2026-08-07 |