USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-08-21 00:05 UTC 30 days ago

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (21 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downcontinuation	trendline	2.86
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.68
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.02
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%)state only	fibonacci	1.99
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	Trendline Retreat Downstate only	trendline	1.32
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.18
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on USD/JPY 8H points to continued downside.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid alignment from 2H upward.
Watch for a break below support at 156.67200 to confirm further decline.
Resistance at 163.98400 is the key level to monitor for any reversal.

The USD/JPY 8H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Trendline Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%), alongside EMA 50 and SMA Retreat Downs. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the Long Legged Doji adds a candlestick warning of potential reversal. This convergence across trendline, indicator, Fibonacci, and candlestick groups points to a strong bearish momentum shift.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid from the 2H up through the daily, with the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all scoring 3/5. The lower timeframes (15m to 1h) are also bearish but choppy, suggesting the move is still in its early stages. The nearest resistance at 163.98400 is the immediate barrier to the upside, while support at 156.67200 is the next major target. A break below that support would likely accelerate the decline, but until then, the trend remains intact.

Catalysts