AUD/JPY 4H BUY

· 51 minutes ago
BUY
70%
▲ BUY
MODERATE
Swing
Prognose: 26% historisch
▲ Bullish 70% (18.37) ▼ Bearish 30% (7.73)
AUD/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.70
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.62
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.33
ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.90
AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.79
CTI OS Exit indicator 1.78
WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.73
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.52
APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.51
DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.40
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.37
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.31
KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.27
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.23
BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.19
KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.18
QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.09
TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.98
Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.97
Above The Stomach candlestick 0.93
CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 0.78
RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 0.78

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 4H signal is bullish, backed by multiple momentum indicators turning up, but the higher timeframe trend is mixed.
  • Watch the resistance at 114.95600; a break above could confirm the reversal, while support at 112.22100 is the key invalidation level.
  • The bearish 1H and 2H trends conflict with the buy signal, so caution is advised until higher timeframes align.
  • The low trend scores across timeframes suggest the market is in a transition phase, not a strong trend.
The AUD/JPY 4H signal is a BUY, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators turning bullish. The RSI midline cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and BOP zero cross up all point to strengthening buying pressure, while the APO zero cross down and AROON strong downtrend suggest the prior bearish momentum is fading. The trendline break up and break down signals, along with a bullish candlestick pattern, indicate a potential reversal from the recent downside move. The confluence of these signals across candlestick, trendline, fibonacci, and indicator groups adds weight to the bullish case.

However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed. The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bearish, and the 4H itself shows a bearish trend forming, which conflicts with the immediate bullish signals. The 15M, 30M, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, but the 1D is choppy/sideways with a low trend score. This suggests the buy signal may be an early reversal attempt within a larger bearish structure. Key levels to watch: resistance at 114.95600 and support at 112.22100. A break above resistance would confirm the reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (RSI, STOCHF, BOP, CMO) all crossing up simultaneously, signaling strong buying pressure.
  • Trendline breaks and a bullish candlestick pattern add confluence to the reversal setup.
  • The 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, providing longer-term support for the move.
Risk Factors
  • The 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish, which could counter the 4H buy signal.
  • The 4H trend itself is still bearish, so the buy may be a counter-trend move.
  • If price falls below support at 112.22100, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • The choppy 1D trend and low trend scores suggest limited momentum, increasing the chance of a false signal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Probability 70%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-09-01 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 112.22100 2026-08-19
S2 110.76500 2026-08-07
S3 109.23100 2026-08-03

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