AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY
BUY
70%
▲ Bullish 70% (18.37)
▼ Bearish 30% (7.73)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.70 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.62 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.33 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | CTI OS Exit | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | DPO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | KDJ Cross Up | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▲ | BIAS Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▲ | KELTNER MID Cross Up | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▲ | QSTICK Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 0.98 |
| ▲ | Closing Marubozu Bullish | candlestick | 0.97 |
| ▲ | Above The Stomach | candlestick | 0.93 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 0.78 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The 4H signal is bullish, backed by multiple momentum indicators turning up, but the higher timeframe trend is mixed.
- Watch the resistance at 114.95600; a break above could confirm the reversal, while support at 112.22100 is the key invalidation level.
- The bearish 1H and 2H trends conflict with the buy signal, so caution is advised until higher timeframes align.
- The low trend scores across timeframes suggest the market is in a transition phase, not a strong trend.
The AUD/JPY 4H signal is a BUY, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators turning bullish. The RSI midline cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and BOP zero cross up all point to strengthening buying pressure, while the APO zero cross down and AROON strong downtrend suggest the prior bearish momentum is fading. The trendline break up and break down signals, along with a bullish candlestick pattern, indicate a potential reversal from the recent downside move. The confluence of these signals across candlestick, trendline, fibonacci, and indicator groups adds weight to the bullish case.
However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed. The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bearish, and the 4H itself shows a bearish trend forming, which conflicts with the immediate bullish signals. The 15M, 30M, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, but the 1D is choppy/sideways with a low trend score. This suggests the buy signal may be an early reversal attempt within a larger bearish structure. Key levels to watch: resistance at 114.95600 and support at 112.22100. A break above resistance would confirm the reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed. The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bearish, and the 4H itself shows a bearish trend forming, which conflicts with the immediate bullish signals. The 15M, 30M, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, but the 1D is choppy/sideways with a low trend score. This suggests the buy signal may be an early reversal attempt within a larger bearish structure. Key levels to watch: resistance at 114.95600 and support at 112.22100. A break above resistance would confirm the reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (RSI, STOCHF, BOP, CMO) all crossing up simultaneously, signaling strong buying pressure.
- ▲ Trendline breaks and a bullish candlestick pattern add confluence to the reversal setup.
- ▲ The 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bullish, providing longer-term support for the move.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish, which could counter the 4H buy signal.
- ▼ The 4H trend itself is still bearish, so the buy may be a counter-trend move.
- ▼ If price falls below support at 112.22100, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ The choppy 1D trend and low trend scores suggest limited momentum, increasing the chance of a false signal.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
70%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-09-01 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 112.22100 | 2026-08-19 |
| S2 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |
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