AUD/JPY – 8H – SELL
SELL
88%
▲ Bullish 12% (4.84)
▼ Bearish 88% (34.15)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Bull Flag | chart_pattern | 2.87 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.23 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.22 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.11 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.38 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 1.11 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful bearish cluster on the 8H chart signals a strong shift to downside momentum.
- The trendline break and Bull Flag breakdown are key structural confirmations of bearish pressure.
- Watch the 114.658 resistance: reclaiming it would invalidate the bearish setup.
- Support at 112.221 is the immediate downside target; a break there could open further losses.
The 8H chart for AUD/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, a Bull Flag breakdown, and multiple zero-line crosses on momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, FISHER, TSI). Together these indicate a decisive shift from bullish to bearish momentum on the 8H timeframe, with the trendline retreat and DEMA retreat confirming that price has rejected prior bullish structure. The breadth of signals across trendline, indicator, chart pattern, support/resistance, and candlestick groups adds conviction to the downside move.
However, the higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bullish, albeit with weak trend scores, while the 15M and 30M are also showing early bullish attempts. This creates a conflicting picture: the 8H bearish breakout is fighting against the longer-term bullish bias. The nearest resistance sits at 114.658, and if price reclaims that level, the bearish thesis weakens. Conversely, a sustained break below the nearest support at 112.221 would likely accelerate the decline and align lower timeframes with the 8H bearish momentum.
However, the higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bullish, albeit with weak trend scores, while the 15M and 30M are also showing early bullish attempts. This creates a conflicting picture: the 8H bearish breakout is fighting against the longer-term bullish bias. The nearest resistance sits at 114.658, and if price reclaims that level, the bearish thesis weakens. Conversely, a sustained break below the nearest support at 112.221 would likely accelerate the decline and align lower timeframes with the 8H bearish momentum.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple independent indicators (BOP, CCI, FISHER, TSI) all confirm zero-line crosses down, indicating broad-based selling pressure.
- ▼ The confluence of a trendline break and a Bull Flag breakdown on the 8H timeframe strengthens the bearish signal.
- ▼ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with an 87% probability, reflecting high conviction in the setup.
- ▼ The bearish momentum on the 8H is supported by the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes, all showing bearish trends.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) remain bullish, which could limit downside follow-through or trigger a reversal.
- ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are showing early bullish attempts, suggesting potential short-term bounces.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 114.658 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated and a move higher could ensue.
- ▲ The 8H timeframe itself is still labeled bullish, creating internal conflict that may reduce the reliability of the bearish signals.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
8H
Direction
SELL
Probability
88%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-01 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| R2 | 114.90900 | 2026-06-02 |
| S1 | 112.22100 | 2026-08-19 |
| S2 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |
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