EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-09-04 16:00 UTC · 45 minutes ago

BUY

90%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +18%

▲ Bullish 90% (15.29) ▼ Bearish 10% (1.71)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	2.72
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.66
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.62
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.34
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.28
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.15
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute bullish signals point to a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes are all bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 185.746; a clear break above could extend the bounce, while rejection would favor the downtrend.
Support at 180.618 is the invalidation level for the bullish signal—if price breaks below, the bounce is over.
The confluence of oversold exits and bullish crosses suggests momentum is shifting upward in the short term, but trend scores on 2H and 4H remain very strong bearish.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute signal is a bullish BUY with 73% probability, driven by a cluster of momentum and oscillator signals: RSI and STOCH exiting oversold, a STOCHRSI bullish cross, a BOP zero cross up, and a Trendline Retreat Up. These indicate that the recent bearish momentum is stalling and that buyers are stepping in for a corrective bounce within the broader downtrend.

However, the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish, with solid to very strong trends on the 2H, 4H, and 8H. This suggests the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 185.746 is a key hurdle; a break above it could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above support at 180.618 would invalidate the bullish case and confirm the dominant downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, STOCH, STOCHRSI) exited oversold and turned bullish, signaling a short-term momentum shift.
▲ BOP zero cross up and Trendline Retreat Up indicate buying pressure and a potential bounce from the trendline.
▲ The signal includes support/resistance, candlestick, indicator, fibonacci, and trendline groups, adding confluence to the bullish case.
▲ The 30-minute trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), which leaves room for a corrective bounce before the larger downtrend resumes.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bearish, with very strong trends on 2H and 4H, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 185.746 is a major hurdle; a failure to break above it would likely lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ The signal is a counter-trend bounce; if momentum fades quickly, the bounce could be shallow and short-lived.
▼ Watch for a break below the nearest support at 180.618—that would invalidate the bullish setup and confirm the bearish trend.