EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-09-04 11:00 UTC · 50 minutes ago

BUY

81%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

▲ Bullish 81% (15.83) ▼ Bearish 19% (3.82)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.34
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.34
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.28
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.24
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.22
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.12
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.11
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.11
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.09
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.08
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.04

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term bounce, but it is counter to the dominant bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Watch the 185.74600 resistance; a break above could trigger further upside, while rejection would likely lead to renewed downside.
The 180.61800 support is the key downside level; a break below would confirm the continuation of the broader downtrend.
The signal's high probability and strength are based on 30-minute indicators, but the higher-timeframe bearish trend is a major headwind.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreat-up signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, and HT TRENDLINE). This confluence suggests strong short-term buying pressure and a potential bounce off the lower end of the recent range. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the alignment of these indicators on the 30-minute timeframe.

However, the higher timeframes paint a bearish picture, with the 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour trends all strongly bearish. The 30-minute bullish signal is therefore likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 185.74600 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above it would likely see the pair resume its bearish path. The nearest support at 180.61800 remains the key downside target if the bounce fades.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, including BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up.
▲ Retreat-up signals across several moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) indicate strong momentum in the short term.
▲ The signal includes fibonacci and candlestick groups, adding technical confluence.
▲ The bounce is occurring near the lower end of the range, with support at 180.61800 providing a potential floor.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour trends are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the 30-minute bullish momentum.
▼ The nearest resistance at 185.74600 is a significant barrier; failure to break above it could invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ The 30-minute trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating the bullish move is not yet fully established.
▼ A break below the 180.61800 support would invalidate the bounce and likely accelerate the downtrend.