AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
76%
▲ Bullish 24% (8.27)
▼ Bearish 76% (25.97)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.60 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.17 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | FISHER Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.60 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | Bearish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 1.09 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.04 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.94 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, led by a trendline break and multiple momentum oscillators crossing down, pointing to a strong sell setup.
- Higher timeframes (2h, 4h) are in very strong bearish trends, aligning with the 30-minute signal, though lower timeframes are choppy and may cause short-term noise.
- Watch the nearest support at 112.23500; a break could accelerate the decline, while the 112.61100 resistance is the key level to invalidate the bearish view.
- The 91% probability and very strong strength rating reflect high confluence across trend, trendline, fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick signal groups.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a cascade of momentum oscillators crossing below their midlines or signal lines, including AROON Cross Down, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down, plus eleven additional signals. This synchronized momentum shift points to a strong and immediate bearish push, with the trendline break acting as a structural trigger. The confluence across indicator groups — momentum, trend, and candlestick — reinforces the probability score of 91% and the very strong strength rating.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but varies in intensity. The 2-hour and 4-hour charts show very strong bearish trends (4/5), providing a solid higher-timeframe backdrop, while the 1-hour and 12-hour trends are forming (2/5), and the 15-minute, 30-minute, and daily charts are choppy/sideways (1/5). This suggests the sell signal is part of a broader downtrend, though lower timeframes may see some noise. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.61100, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 112.23500, a break of which would confirm further downside. A failure to hold below the trendline or a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but varies in intensity. The 2-hour and 4-hour charts show very strong bearish trends (4/5), providing a solid higher-timeframe backdrop, while the 1-hour and 12-hour trends are forming (2/5), and the 15-minute, 30-minute, and daily charts are choppy/sideways (1/5). This suggests the sell signal is part of a broader downtrend, though lower timeframes may see some noise. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.61100, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 112.23500, a break of which would confirm further downside. A failure to hold below the trendline or a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends on higher timeframes (2h and 4h at 4/5 strength) supports the sell signal.
- ▼ A high number of momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, BOP, STOCHF, AROON) crossing down simultaneously indicates broad selling pressure.
- ▼ The trendline break up acts as a structural trigger, confirming a shift in market dynamics.
- ▼ Confluence across multiple signal groups (trend, trendline, fibonacci, indicator, candlestick) strengthens the probability of the move playing out.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws against the signal.
- ▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 112.61100 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ Momentum oscillators are already at low levels; further downside may face exhaustion if the trend stalls near support.
- ▲ The 1-hour and 12-hour trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the bearish move may not be fully established on those timeframes.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
76%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-07 07:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.61100 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 112.78300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 113.96900 | 2026-09-02 |
| S1 | 112.23500 | 2026-09-07 |
| S2 | 111.75900 | 2026-09-04 |
| S3 | 111.69100 | 2026-09-03 |
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