AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
93%
▲ Bullish 7% (4.63)
▼ Bearish 93% (60.48)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 3.80 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.79 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.64 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.53 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.32 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.94 |
| ▼ | CHOP Choppy | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.97 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- AUD/JPY is in a strong bearish trend on the 2H and 4H, with a bear flag breakdown and trendline break confirming downside.
- Momentum indicators (STOCHF, WILLR, BOP) are aligned bearish, but the 15M choppiness suggests the move may be uneven in the short term.
- Watch 114.66700 as the key resistance/invalidation level; a reclaim would void the bearish setup.
- Support at 110.26900 is the major downside target, but expect possible pauses at intermediate levels.
AUD/JPY is firing a dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H timeframe, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bear Flag continuation pattern. The move is reinforced by momentum oscillators (STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR entering oversold on entry, BOP Zero Cross Down) and a broad retreat from key moving averages (EMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down) plus a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. With 15 signals across indicator, chart pattern, Fibonacci, trendline, and candlestick groups, the confluence is unusually strong.
The trend structure supports the sell: the 2H and 4H timeframes show very strong and extremely strong bearish trends (4/5 and 5/5), while the 1H is solidly bearish. However, the 15M is choppy/sideways and the 1D is only trend-forming, so the immediate momentum may be uneven. The nearest resistance at 114.66700 is the key invalidation zone—a reclaim of that level would negate the bear flag. The nearest support at 110.26900 is the primary downside objective, though intermediate levels may offer partial targets.
The trend structure supports the sell: the 2H and 4H timeframes show very strong and extremely strong bearish trends (4/5 and 5/5), while the 1H is solidly bearish. However, the 15M is choppy/sideways and the 1D is only trend-forming, so the immediate momentum may be uneven. The nearest resistance at 114.66700 is the key invalidation zone—a reclaim of that level would negate the bear flag. The nearest support at 110.26900 is the primary downside objective, though intermediate levels may offer partial targets.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong trend alignment: 2H (4/5) and 4H (5/5) both bearish, supporting continuation.
- ▼ High signal confluence: 15 signals across multiple groups (indicator, chart pattern, trendline, candlestick) reinforce the sell.
- ▼ Bear Flag pattern is a classic continuation setup, confirmed by a trendline break and moving-average retreat.
- ▼ Momentum oscillators (STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry) show downside pressure, with BOP confirming selling dominance.
Risk Factors
- ▲ 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could lead to short-term whipsaws before the trend resumes.
- ▲ 1D is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the longer-term bearishness is not yet fully established—a daily reversal could stall the move.
- ▲ Nearest resistance at 114.66700 is relatively close; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bear flag and trendline break.
- ▲ WILLR is in oversold territory on entry, which could trigger a short-term bounce or consolidation before further downside.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 110.26900 | 2026-09-08 |
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