AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL
SELL
91%
▲ Bullish 9% (2.48)
▼ Bearish 91% (25.41)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 2.68 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.66 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (38%) | fibonacci | 2.43 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▲ | KST Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | Matching Low | candlestick | 1.01 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.63 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Sell signal with 91% probability and very strong strength on the 4H timeframe.
- Multiple bearish patterns (Trendline Break Down, Bear Flag) and moving average retreats align.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the 4H extremely strong.
- Watch 114.66700 resistance and 110.76500 support for continuation or reversal.
The AUD/JPY 4H chart has triggered a comprehensive bearish signal set, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bear Flag pattern, reinforced by multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, ALMA, HMA) and a MAMA PRICE Retreat Down. The KST Signal Cross Up adds a momentum twist, suggesting a potential pullback within the broader downtrend, but the overall alignment is firmly bearish. The confluence of chart patterns, Fibonacci levels, candlestick signals, and trendline breaks points to sustained selling pressure.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 4H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 2H very strong (4/5), while higher timeframes (8H, 12H) remain solidly bearish. The 1D is still forming its trend, but the lower timeframes confirm the immediate direction. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 114.66700 and support at 110.76500. A break below support could accelerate declines, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 4H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 2H very strong (4/5), while higher timeframes (8H, 12H) remain solidly bearish. The 1D is still forming its trend, but the lower timeframes confirm the immediate direction. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 114.66700 and support at 110.76500. A break below support could accelerate declines, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong confluence of chart patterns and trendline breaks.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with 4H extremely strong.
- ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, ALMA, HMA) confirm downside momentum.
- ▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signals add to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
- ▲ KST Signal Cross Up hints at possible short-term upward momentum, which could trigger a bounce.
- ▲ The 1D timeframe only shows a trend forming (2/5), so the larger picture is less confirmed.
- ▲ A break above 114.66700 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Choppy 15M action suggests potential for false breakouts.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
91%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 109.23100 | 2026-08-03 |