EUR/JPY 1H SELL

· 23 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
▲ Bullish 5% (1.70) ▼ Bearish 95% (29.36)
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.35
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.22
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.96
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.87
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.65
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.62
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.57
AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 0.93
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.93
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.77
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.76
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 0.76
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.73

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 1H bearish signal is backed by a powerful alignment across all timeframes, with 2H and 4H showing extremely strong downtrends.
  • The confluence of a Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge, and multiple momentum indicators points to continued downside pressure.
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 181.95300 (invalidation) and support at 177.84400 (target).
  • The 86% probability and very strong signal strength suggest a high-confidence setup, but patience for confirmation is key.
The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Falling Wedge, with AROON confirming a strong downtrend and BOP crossing below zero to underline selling pressure. The signal stack is reinforced by EMA and T3 retreats, which show price pulling back into the moving averages in a bearish alignment, while the STOCH cross signals indicate momentum is rotating back down after a brief counter-trend bounce. The overall picture is a well-established downtrend that is now accelerating, with the 2H and 4H timeframes both showing extremely strong trend scores of 5/5, and the 8H and 12H also very strong at 4/5, confirming that the bearish move is not just a short-term fluctuation but a broader directional shift.

With the trend aligned across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the path of least resistance is clearly to the downside. The nearest resistance at 181.95300 is the level to watch for any bounce that could invalidate the setup, while the nearest support at 177.84400 is the first major downside target. The confluence of multiple signal types—trendline, chart pattern, indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci—adds weight to the bearish case, and the very strong probability of 86% suggests a high-confidence setup. However, traders should remain disciplined and wait for confirmation, as the market can always reverse, and the invalidation level above the resistance is a critical line in the sand.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across all timeframes, with 2H and 4H at 5/5 trend strength.
  • Multiple signal types (trendline, pattern, indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci) all pointing in the same direction.
  • AROON strong downtrend and BOP zero cross down confirm selling pressure.
  • EMA and T3 retreats show price is being rejected by moving averages in a bearish structure.
Risk Factors
  • A break back above the nearest resistance at 181.95300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The STOCH KD Cross Up signal could indicate a short-term bounce that might slow the downtrend.
  • The 1D timeframe is only showing a trend forming (2/5), suggesting the larger daily trend is not yet fully bearish.
  • Momentum could fade if price fails to break through the support at 177.84400, leading to a consolidation.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-09 00:05
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 181.95300 2026-09-04
R2 185.74600 2026-09-02
R3 185.98100 2026-08-28
S1 177.84400 2026-09-08

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