EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (1.70)
▼ Bearish 95% (29.36)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.35 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.22 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.87 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | AO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.93 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.93 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.77 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.76 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 0.76 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.73 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNExtremely strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The 1H bearish signal is backed by a powerful alignment across all timeframes, with 2H and 4H showing extremely strong downtrends.
- The confluence of a Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge, and multiple momentum indicators points to continued downside pressure.
- Key levels to watch: resistance at 181.95300 (invalidation) and support at 177.84400 (target).
- The 86% probability and very strong signal strength suggest a high-confidence setup, but patience for confirmation is key.
The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Falling Wedge, with AROON confirming a strong downtrend and BOP crossing below zero to underline selling pressure. The signal stack is reinforced by EMA and T3 retreats, which show price pulling back into the moving averages in a bearish alignment, while the STOCH cross signals indicate momentum is rotating back down after a brief counter-trend bounce. The overall picture is a well-established downtrend that is now accelerating, with the 2H and 4H timeframes both showing extremely strong trend scores of 5/5, and the 8H and 12H also very strong at 4/5, confirming that the bearish move is not just a short-term fluctuation but a broader directional shift.
With the trend aligned across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the path of least resistance is clearly to the downside. The nearest resistance at 181.95300 is the level to watch for any bounce that could invalidate the setup, while the nearest support at 177.84400 is the first major downside target. The confluence of multiple signal types—trendline, chart pattern, indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci—adds weight to the bearish case, and the very strong probability of 86% suggests a high-confidence setup. However, traders should remain disciplined and wait for confirmation, as the market can always reverse, and the invalidation level above the resistance is a critical line in the sand.
With the trend aligned across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the path of least resistance is clearly to the downside. The nearest resistance at 181.95300 is the level to watch for any bounce that could invalidate the setup, while the nearest support at 177.84400 is the first major downside target. The confluence of multiple signal types—trendline, chart pattern, indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci—adds weight to the bearish case, and the very strong probability of 86% suggests a high-confidence setup. However, traders should remain disciplined and wait for confirmation, as the market can always reverse, and the invalidation level above the resistance is a critical line in the sand.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with 2H and 4H at 5/5 trend strength.
- ▼ Multiple signal types (trendline, pattern, indicator, candlestick, Fibonacci) all pointing in the same direction.
- ▼ AROON strong downtrend and BOP zero cross down confirm selling pressure.
- ▼ EMA and T3 retreats show price is being rejected by moving averages in a bearish structure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 181.95300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up signal could indicate a short-term bounce that might slow the downtrend.
- ▲ The 1D timeframe is only showing a trend forming (2/5), suggesting the larger daily trend is not yet fully bearish.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if price fails to break through the support at 177.84400, leading to a consolidation.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 00:05
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 181.95300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 185.74600 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 177.84400 | 2026-09-08 |
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