EUR/JPY 2H SELL

· 21 hours ago
SELL
89%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 11% (8.81) ▼ Bearish 89% (68.70)
EUR/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.83
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.26
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.21
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.07
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.84
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.81
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.69
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.67
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.52
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.45
AROON Cross Down indicator 1.41
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.29
ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
Bearish Harami candlestick 0.98
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 0.97
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 0.97
ROCR Cross Down indicator 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 2H chart shows a strong bearish breakout from a falling wedge and trendline, with momentum indicators all aligned lower.
  • Trend alignment across timeframes is consistently bearish, with the 4H showing the strongest trend (5/5), supporting further downside.
  • Key resistance is at 181.953; a break above this would invalidate the bearish setup, while 177.844 is the next support to watch.
  • The confluence of pattern, trendline, and momentum signals gives a high-probability sell scenario, but be alert for a potential bounce near support.
The EUR/JPY 2H chart is flashing a comprehensive bearish setup, with a cascade of signals confirming downside momentum. The Trendline Break Down and Falling Wedge pattern indicate a structural shift, while the AROON Cross Down and Strong Downtrend confirm sellers are in control. Momentum oscillators—BOP, MOM, and ROC—all crossing below zero add confluence, suggesting selling pressure is broad-based and not just a single-indicator fluke. The 2H timeframe itself shows a very strong downtrend (4/5), and the higher 4H timeframe is even more bearish at 5/5, meaning the medium-term trend is firmly aligned to the downside.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent from 15m up to 12h, with the 4H being the strongest. This multi-timeframe convergence reinforces the validity of the sell signal. The key resistance at 181.953 is the level to watch for any bounce, while the nearest support at 177.844 is the immediate downside target. As long as price stays below the broken trendline and the falling wedge structure, the path of least resistance remains lower. A break below 177.844 could accelerate the move, but traders should monitor for any signs of exhaustion given the extended nature of the trend.
Catalysts
  • Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, with 4H trend at 5/5 and 2H at 4/5, creating strong trend confirmation.
  • Falling Wedge and Trendline Break Down both signal a continuation of the downtrend, adding pattern-based confluence.
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC) crossing below zero confirm selling pressure is broad and sustained.
  • AROON indicators show a strong downtrend with a cross down, indicating sellers are in control and trend momentum is intact.
Risk Factors
  • The 1D timeframe only shows a trend forming (2/5), suggesting the daily trend is not yet fully bearish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
  • Price is approaching the nearest support at 177.844, where a bounce could occur, especially if the move has been overextended.
  • A break back above the broken trendline or the 181.953 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • The 15m timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating short-term uncertainty that could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-09 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 181.95300 2026-09-04
R2 185.74600 2026-09-02
R3 185.98100 2026-08-28
S1 177.84400 2026-09-08

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