EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
89%
▲ Bullish 11% (8.81)
▼ Bearish 89% (68.70)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.83 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.52 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.97 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 0.97 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- The 2H chart shows a strong bearish breakout from a falling wedge and trendline, with momentum indicators all aligned lower.
- Trend alignment across timeframes is consistently bearish, with the 4H showing the strongest trend (5/5), supporting further downside.
- Key resistance is at 181.953; a break above this would invalidate the bearish setup, while 177.844 is the next support to watch.
- The confluence of pattern, trendline, and momentum signals gives a high-probability sell scenario, but be alert for a potential bounce near support.
The EUR/JPY 2H chart is flashing a comprehensive bearish setup, with a cascade of signals confirming downside momentum. The Trendline Break Down and Falling Wedge pattern indicate a structural shift, while the AROON Cross Down and Strong Downtrend confirm sellers are in control. Momentum oscillators—BOP, MOM, and ROC—all crossing below zero add confluence, suggesting selling pressure is broad-based and not just a single-indicator fluke. The 2H timeframe itself shows a very strong downtrend (4/5), and the higher 4H timeframe is even more bearish at 5/5, meaning the medium-term trend is firmly aligned to the downside.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent from 15m up to 12h, with the 4H being the strongest. This multi-timeframe convergence reinforces the validity of the sell signal. The key resistance at 181.953 is the level to watch for any bounce, while the nearest support at 177.844 is the immediate downside target. As long as price stays below the broken trendline and the falling wedge structure, the path of least resistance remains lower. A break below 177.844 could accelerate the move, but traders should monitor for any signs of exhaustion given the extended nature of the trend.
Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent from 15m up to 12h, with the 4H being the strongest. This multi-timeframe convergence reinforces the validity of the sell signal. The key resistance at 181.953 is the level to watch for any bounce, while the nearest support at 177.844 is the immediate downside target. As long as price stays below the broken trendline and the falling wedge structure, the path of least resistance remains lower. A break below 177.844 could accelerate the move, but traders should monitor for any signs of exhaustion given the extended nature of the trend.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, with 4H trend at 5/5 and 2H at 4/5, creating strong trend confirmation.
- ▼ Falling Wedge and Trendline Break Down both signal a continuation of the downtrend, adding pattern-based confluence.
- ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC) crossing below zero confirm selling pressure is broad and sustained.
- ▼ AROON indicators show a strong downtrend with a cross down, indicating sellers are in control and trend momentum is intact.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 1D timeframe only shows a trend forming (2/5), suggesting the daily trend is not yet fully bearish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ Price is approaching the nearest support at 177.844, where a bounce could occur, especially if the move has been overextended.
- ▲ A break back above the broken trendline or the 181.953 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ The 15m timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating short-term uncertainty that could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
89%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 181.95300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 185.74600 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 177.84400 | 2026-09-08 |
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