USD/JPY 2H BUY

· 21 hours ago
BUY
82%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +43%
▲ Bullish 82% (41.82) ▼ Bearish 18% (9.48)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.86
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.48
VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.91
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.88
SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.87
AROON Cross Down indicator 1.81
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.81
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.80
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.73
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.61
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.54
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.47
TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.36
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.15
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.11
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.10
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.08
HMA Direction Up indicator 1.01
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.91
Three Line Strike - Bearish candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Buy signal is counter-trend; higher timeframes (4H, 1D) are strongly bearish.
  • Cluster of momentum and pattern signals (Falling Wedge, Aroon, CCI, STOCHRSI) suggests a potential bounce.
  • Watch resistance at 156.74700; a break above could confirm bullish momentum.
  • Support at 152.88300 is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
The 2H signal for USD/JPY is BUY, but it is fired against a predominantly bearish backdrop across timeframes. The 4H and 1D timeframes show very strong downtrends (5/5 and 4/5), while the 2H itself is bearish with a very strong trend score of 4/5. The signal is driven by a cluster of momentum and pattern indicators: a Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge, multiple Aroon bearish signals, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside a CCI oversold exit and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. These suggest a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt, but the higher-timeframe alignment is clearly bearish.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 156.74700 and support at 152.88300. A break above the resistance could signal a stronger bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case. Given the weak strength (61%) and the conflicting trend structure, this signal should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity with tight risk management. The bullish signals are more indicative of a corrective move within the broader downtrend rather than a full reversal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple oversold indicators (CCI, STOCHRSI) are turning up, suggesting buying pressure.
  • Falling Wedge pattern often precedes bullish breakouts.
  • BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying volume.
  • Short-term 15M is bullish, offering a minor tailwind.
Risk Factors
  • Strong bearish trend on 4H and 1D outweighs the 2H signal.
  • Aroon signals are bearish, conflicting with the buy signal.
  • If price fails to break above 156.74700, the bounce may fade.
  • A drop below 152.88300 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 82%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-09 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 156.74700 2026-09-04
R2 160.38900 2026-09-02
S1 152.88300 2026-09-08

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