USD/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY
82%
▲ Bullish 82% (41.82)
▼ Bearish 18% (9.48)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.86 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.48 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | SMI Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.80 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.11 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.08 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 1.01 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.91 |
| ▼ | Three Line Strike - Bearish | candlestick | 0.83 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNVery strong trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Buy signal is counter-trend; higher timeframes (4H, 1D) are strongly bearish.
- Cluster of momentum and pattern signals (Falling Wedge, Aroon, CCI, STOCHRSI) suggests a potential bounce.
- Watch resistance at 156.74700; a break above could confirm bullish momentum.
- Support at 152.88300 is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
The 2H signal for USD/JPY is BUY, but it is fired against a predominantly bearish backdrop across timeframes. The 4H and 1D timeframes show very strong downtrends (5/5 and 4/5), while the 2H itself is bearish with a very strong trend score of 4/5. The signal is driven by a cluster of momentum and pattern indicators: a Trendline Break Down, Falling Wedge, multiple Aroon bearish signals, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside a CCI oversold exit and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. These suggest a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt, but the higher-timeframe alignment is clearly bearish.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 156.74700 and support at 152.88300. A break above the resistance could signal a stronger bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case. Given the weak strength (61%) and the conflicting trend structure, this signal should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity with tight risk management. The bullish signals are more indicative of a corrective move within the broader downtrend rather than a full reversal.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 156.74700 and support at 152.88300. A break above the resistance could signal a stronger bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish case. Given the weak strength (61%) and the conflicting trend structure, this signal should be treated as a counter-trend opportunity with tight risk management. The bullish signals are more indicative of a corrective move within the broader downtrend rather than a full reversal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple oversold indicators (CCI, STOCHRSI) are turning up, suggesting buying pressure.
- ▲ Falling Wedge pattern often precedes bullish breakouts.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying volume.
- ▲ Short-term 15M is bullish, offering a minor tailwind.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Strong bearish trend on 4H and 1D outweighs the 2H signal.
- ▼ Aroon signals are bearish, conflicting with the buy signal.
- ▼ If price fails to break above 156.74700, the bounce may fade.
- ▼ A drop below 152.88300 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely accelerate selling.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
82%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 156.74700 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 160.38900 | 2026-09-02 |
| S1 | 152.88300 | 2026-09-08 |
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