AUD/JPY 2H SELL

· 23 hours ago
SELL
97%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 3% (3.76) ▼ Bearish 97% (112.73)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.87
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.73
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.58
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.51
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.37
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 2.22
SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.16
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.00
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.10
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.86

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on 2H points to continued downside.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are strongly bearish, supporting the 2H signal.
  • Watch 111.49800 as the key resistance; a break above would negate the setup.
  • Momentum and trend indicators are aligned, but lower timeframes are still forming trends.
The 2H chart for AUD/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and EMA/MA Retreat Downs. The concurrent HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicate that price is not only breaking structure but also pulling back within a downtrend, suggesting sustained selling pressure. The 93% probability and very strong strength reflect the alignment of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators all pointing lower.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent and intensifying on the higher frames: 4H shows an extremely strong trend (5/5) and 8H a very strong trend (4/5), while 2H and 12H are solid (3/5). Lower timeframes (15m, 1H) are still forming trends, which often precedes further downside. The nearest resistance at 111.49800 is the immediate barrier; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 111.49800 (likely a typo for a lower level) is the first downside target, but the confluence of signals suggests room to extend toward deeper support.
Catalysts
  • Trendline Break Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down confirm bearish structure.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Down signal selling momentum.
  • EMA and MA Retreat Downs show price pulling back within a downtrend.
  • Strong trend scores on 4H and 8H align with the 2H signal.
Risk Factors
  • A break above 111.49800 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 1H) are only trend forming, which could lead to choppy price action.
  • The STOCH KD Cross Up and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up hint at short-term oversold conditions that may trigger a bounce.
  • The 1D trend is only 2/5, suggesting limited conviction on the daily timeframe.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-10 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.49800 2026-09-08
R2 114.66700 2026-09-02
R3 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 110.26900 2026-09-08

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