AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (3.76)
▼ Bearish 97% (112.73)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.87 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.73 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.37 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.00 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on 2H points to continued downside.
- Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are strongly bearish, supporting the 2H signal.
- Watch 111.49800 as the key resistance; a break above would negate the setup.
- Momentum and trend indicators are aligned, but lower timeframes are still forming trends.
The 2H chart for AUD/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and EMA/MA Retreat Downs. The concurrent HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicate that price is not only breaking structure but also pulling back within a downtrend, suggesting sustained selling pressure. The 93% probability and very strong strength reflect the alignment of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators all pointing lower.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent and intensifying on the higher frames: 4H shows an extremely strong trend (5/5) and 8H a very strong trend (4/5), while 2H and 12H are solid (3/5). Lower timeframes (15m, 1H) are still forming trends, which often precedes further downside. The nearest resistance at 111.49800 is the immediate barrier; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 111.49800 (likely a typo for a lower level) is the first downside target, but the confluence of signals suggests room to extend toward deeper support.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent and intensifying on the higher frames: 4H shows an extremely strong trend (5/5) and 8H a very strong trend (4/5), while 2H and 12H are solid (3/5). Lower timeframes (15m, 1H) are still forming trends, which often precedes further downside. The nearest resistance at 111.49800 is the immediate barrier; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 111.49800 (likely a typo for a lower level) is the first downside target, but the confluence of signals suggests room to extend toward deeper support.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline Break Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down confirm bearish structure.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Down signal selling momentum.
- ▼ EMA and MA Retreat Downs show price pulling back within a downtrend.
- ▼ Strong trend scores on 4H and 8H align with the 2H signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A break above 111.49800 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 1H) are only trend forming, which could lead to choppy price action.
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up and BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up hint at short-term oversold conditions that may trigger a bounce.
- ▲ The 1D trend is only 2/5, suggesting limited conviction on the daily timeframe.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-10 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.49800 | 2026-09-08 |
| R2 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 110.26900 | 2026-09-08 |
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