AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
63%
▲ Bullish 37% (15.43)
▼ Bearish 63% (26.04)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.56 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.27 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | VIDYA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.80 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.68 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.21 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.20 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.88 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A high-conviction sell signal on AUD/JPY, with 11+ indicators aligned lower.
- Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are strongly bearish, backing the 30M signal despite the mixed lower timeframe.
- Immediate upside is capped at the 111.02000 resistance; the downside targets the 110.64800 support.
- Monitor the 30M structure: a break below support could trigger a sharp leg lower; a reclaim of resistance would invalidate.
A dense cluster of seventeen bearish signals has fired on AUD/JPY's 30-minute chart, with eleven distinct indicator groups triggering simultaneously at 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC. This wave of sell signals includes Trendline Break Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and HT SINE Zero Cross Down, among others. The convergence of momentum, trendline, and oscillators consistently points to immediate selling pressure, with the signal's 97% probability and 'very strong' strength emphasizing the conviction behind this move.
While the 30-minute chart itself records a bullish bias, it is choppy with a weak trend score (1/5), underscoring that the immediate bullish structure is fragile. Higher timeframes align decisively bearish: the 4-hour shows an extremely strong downtrend (5/5), and 2-hour and 8-hour are very strong (4/5). This alignment suggests the sell signals on the 30-minute may be positioning for a continuation of the larger bearish movement, with nearest resistance at 111.02000 capping rallies, while support sits at 110.64800. The key is whether price respects that support; a break below would likely lead to a deeper decline.
While the 30-minute chart itself records a bullish bias, it is choppy with a weak trend score (1/5), underscoring that the immediate bullish structure is fragile. Higher timeframes align decisively bearish: the 4-hour shows an extremely strong downtrend (5/5), and 2-hour and 8-hour are very strong (4/5). This alignment suggests the sell signals on the 30-minute may be positioning for a continuation of the larger bearish movement, with nearest resistance at 111.02000 capping rallies, while support sits at 110.64800. The key is whether price respects that support; a break below would likely lead to a deeper decline.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (trendline, momentum, oscillators) all flipping bearish simultaneously.
- ▼ Strong bearish trend on the 4H and 8H timeframes providing backdrop for 30M moves.
- ▼ The 'Trendline Break Down' and 'HT SINE Zero Cross Down' signal a breakdown of the prior ascending structure.
- ▼ The RSI and CMO zero cross downs indicate momentum is shifting to the downside.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30M timeframe itself is bullish (though choppy), which could stall the bearish move if the buying pressure from that timeframe reasserts.
- ▲ A break and hold above the 111.02000 resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.
- ▲ If the price fails to break below the 110.64800 support, the sell could find support and bounce.
- ▲ Given the 1H, 15M, and 30M trend are all weak (1/5) and showing a bullish bias, the sell signal might be fighting the very short-term trend.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
63%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-09-10 15:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.02000 | 2026-09-09 |
| R2 | 111.49800 | 2026-09-08 |
| R3 | 112.61100 | 2026-09-04 |
| S1 | 110.64800 | 2026-09-10 |
| S2 | 110.63300 | 2026-09-09 |
| S3 | 110.26900 | 2026-09-08 |
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