AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 23 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +51%
▲ Bullish 5% (4.12) ▼ Bearish 95% (70.29)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Symmetrical Triangle chart_pattern 3.90
Double Top chart_pattern 3.80
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.58
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.33
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 2.30
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.25
HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.14
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.92
FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.91
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.82
STOCH OB Exit indicator 1.76
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.64
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.02
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.98
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals converge on the 30-minute chart, including a trendline break, double top, and symmetrical triangle breakdown.
  • All timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 4-hour trend extremely strong.
  • Watch the nearest support at 110.26900; a break below it likely accelerates the decline.
  • Resistance at 111.00500 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish setup.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down, a Double Top, and a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown. The confluence of these patterns, alongside momentum and trend-following indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down), points to strong selling pressure. The bearish bias is consistent across all monitored timeframes, from 15-minute up to daily, with the 4-hour chart showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 8-hour very strong (4/5). This multi-timeframe alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.00500 and support at 110.26900. The breakdown of the symmetrical triangle and the double top both project further downside, with the support level acting as the first major target. A sustained move below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance zone would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong signal strength and probability of 95%, the bias remains firmly bearish as long as price stays below the broken trendline and resistance.
Catalysts
  • Strong multi-timeframe bearish alignment, especially the 4-hour extremely strong trend (5/5).
  • Confluence of chart patterns (double top, symmetrical triangle) and trendline breaks.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH) and moving averages (EMA, KAMA) all pointing down.
  • High signal probability (95%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 111.00500, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the short-term momentum may be less robust.
  • A bounce off the support at 110.26900 could lead to a temporary pullback or consolidation.
  • Fading momentum on lower timeframes could slow the decline despite the higher-timeframe bearish trend.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-10 20:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.00500 2026-09-10
R2 111.02000 2026-09-09
R3 111.49800 2026-09-08
S1 110.26900 2026-09-08

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