AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (4.12)
▼ Bearish 95% (70.29)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Symmetrical Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.90 |
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.80 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.58 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.30 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | FISHER Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | STOCH OB Exit | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.02 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals converge on the 30-minute chart, including a trendline break, double top, and symmetrical triangle breakdown.
- All timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 4-hour trend extremely strong.
- Watch the nearest support at 110.26900; a break below it likely accelerates the decline.
- Resistance at 111.00500 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish setup.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down, a Double Top, and a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown. The confluence of these patterns, alongside momentum and trend-following indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down), points to strong selling pressure. The bearish bias is consistent across all monitored timeframes, from 15-minute up to daily, with the 4-hour chart showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 8-hour very strong (4/5). This multi-timeframe alignment supports the continuation of the downtrend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.00500 and support at 110.26900. The breakdown of the symmetrical triangle and the double top both project further downside, with the support level acting as the first major target. A sustained move below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance zone would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong signal strength and probability of 95%, the bias remains firmly bearish as long as price stays below the broken trendline and resistance.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.00500 and support at 110.26900. The breakdown of the symmetrical triangle and the double top both project further downside, with the support level acting as the first major target. A sustained move below this support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance zone would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong signal strength and probability of 95%, the bias remains firmly bearish as long as price stays below the broken trendline and resistance.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong multi-timeframe bearish alignment, especially the 4-hour extremely strong trend (5/5).
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (double top, symmetrical triangle) and trendline breaks.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH) and moving averages (EMA, KAMA) all pointing down.
- ▼ High signal probability (95%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
- ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 111.00500, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the short-term momentum may be less robust.
- ▲ A bounce off the support at 110.26900 could lead to a temporary pullback or consolidation.
- ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could slow the decline despite the higher-timeframe bearish trend.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-10 20:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.00500 | 2026-09-10 |
| R2 | 111.02000 | 2026-09-09 |
| R3 | 111.49800 | 2026-09-08 |
| S1 | 110.26900 | 2026-09-08 |
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