USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

2026-09-10 02:00 UTC · 54 minutes ago

BUY

95%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 95% (49.69) ▼ Bearish 5% (2.43)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Double Bottom	chart_pattern	4.35
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.74
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.44
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.42
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.65
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.06
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	1.04
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.03
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful 1H bullish signal is firing against a strong daily downtrend, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
Watch the 154.415 resistance; a clean break opens the door for more upside, while rejection there favors the larger bearish trend.
The 152.940 support is the key invalidation level—if price falls below it, the bullish signal is void.
Momentum is strongly aligned on the 1H, but higher timeframes are still bearish, so expect potential volatility at resistance.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 95% probability and 12 distinct signals firing in unison. The breakout above a descending trendline, combined with a Double Bottom pattern and a cluster of momentum crossovers (BOP, CCI, STOCHF KD, and MAMA), indicates a strong shift in short-term momentum. The DEMA Retreat Up and BBANDS Middle Cross Up further confirm that price is reclaiming key dynamic levels, suggesting buyers are stepping in aggressively on this timeframe.

However, the broader context is a sharp bearish trend across higher timeframes, with the 4H and 1D showing extremely strong downtrends. This creates a classic counter-trend bounce scenario: the 1H signal is firing against the dominant daily and weekly direction. The nearest resistance at 154.415 is the first major hurdle; a break above it would signal a deeper correction, while a failure there could see the pair resume its broader decline. The nearest support at 152.940 is the invalidation zone for the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Twelve bullish signals firing simultaneously on the 1H, including a trendline break, Double Bottom, and multiple momentum crossovers, indicate strong short-term buying pressure.
▲ The DEMA Retreat Up and BBANDS Middle Cross Up show price reclaiming dynamic support levels, suggesting buyers are in control on this timeframe.
▲ A clear resistance at 154.415 provides a defined target; a break above it would confirm the bullish reversal.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4H and 1D trends are extremely bearish (strength 5/5), meaning this 1H signal could be a mere pullback within a larger downtrend.
▼ The 15M and 30M trends are only 1/5 strength and choppy, indicating weak conviction in the immediate term.
▼ If price fails at 154.415 and turns lower, the bullish setup is compromised; a move below 152.940 invalidates the signal entirely.
▼ The signal is counter-trend, so the probability of a false breakout is higher than in a trend-aligned setup.