AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
93%
▲ Bullish 93% (30.07)
▼ Bearish 7% (2.34)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.58 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.16 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.90 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | DPO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▲ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.03 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A powerful 30-minute bullish signal cluster suggests a strong short-term bounce.
- Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) remain firmly bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
- Watch the 111.00500 resistance and 110.22400 support as key decision levels.
- Trade with caution and tight stops due to conflicting trend alignment.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, and DEMA Retreat Up, among others. The confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators suggests a strong short-term bullish impulse. However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 4-hour chart showing an extremely strong downtrend and the 8-hour chart very strong bearish trend. This creates a conflict between the immediate bullish momentum and the larger bearish context, implying the 30-minute rally may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.00500 and support at 110.22400 (the signal's stop-loss level). A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes show choppy or solid bearish trends, adding to the mixed picture. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.00500 and support at 110.22400 (the signal's stop-loss level). A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes show choppy or solid bearish trends, adding to the mixed picture. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, BOP) all crossing up simultaneously.
- ▲ Price broke above the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a shift in volatility.
- ▲ A DEMA retreat up suggests the short-term trend is resuming upward.
- ▲ The signal cluster includes trendline, candlestick, and Fibonacci confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 4-hour and 8-hour trends are strongly bearish, which could cap upside.
- ▼ The 15-minute and 2-hour trends are bearish, conflicting with the 30-minute signal.
- ▼ If price fails to hold above 110.22400 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes may lead to false breakouts.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-11 05:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.00500 | 2026-09-10 |
| R2 | 111.02000 | 2026-09-09 |
| R3 | 111.49800 | 2026-09-08 |
| S1 | 110.22400 | 2026-09-10 |