USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-09-11 21:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 100% (48.54) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.28
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.44
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.31
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish momentum signals fired on the 30M chart, suggesting a short-term bounce is underway.
This is a counter-trend move against a strongly bearish higher-timeframe structure, so treat it as a scalp or quick trade.
Watch the 154.483 resistance as the immediate upside target; a break could extend but faces heavy overhead supply.
The 153.236 support is the line in the sand — losing it invalidates the bullish case.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level. Momentum oscillators are aligning: STOCH OB Exit and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate upward pressure, while CTI OB Entry and TSI Signal Cross Up confirm buying flow. The DEMA and MAMA price retreats suggest prices pulled back to dynamic support and are now bouncing, adding confluence to the bullish case.

However, this is a counter-trend setup. The 15-minute is the only bullish timeframe (and it is weak/choppy at 1/5), while all higher timeframes from 30M up to 1D are bearish, with very strong trends (4/5) from 4H upward. The signal targets the nearest resistance at 154.483, but the broader downtrend suggests this is a corrective bounce within a bearish structure. The nearest support at 153.236 is the key invalidation zone; a break below would negate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, STOCHRSI, CTI, TSI) are all pointing up simultaneously, creating high confluence.
▲ The Fibonacci Break UpTrend adds a structural element, suggesting the pullback has found a defined level.
▲ The 15M chart is bullish, providing a minor tailwind even though it is weak.
▲ Signal probability is very high (94%) with very strong strength, indicating robust alignment among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The overwhelming bearish trend on higher timeframes (30M to 1D) argues against sustained upside; this could be a dead-cat bounce.
▼ The 154.483 resistance is a hard ceiling; a failure there could lead to a sharp reversal.
▼ If the 30M trend (currently bearish) reasserts, the bounce could fade quickly.
▼ A break below 153.236 support would invalidate the setup and likely accelerate selling.