USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
88%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +4%
▲ Bullish 12% (4.83) ▼ Bearish 88% (35.79)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.12
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.96
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.95
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.93
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.54
RSX OS Exit indicator 1.44
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
Takuri Line candlestick 1.05
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.92
Dragonfly Doji candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart confirms strong selling momentum in USD/JPY.
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all in very strong bearish trends, aligning with the 30-minute signal.
  • Key resistance at 154.61200 is the level to watch; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Support at 153.28000 is the first major downside target, with further declines possible if broken.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat-down confirmations from DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, and MIDPOINT. This broad alignment across indicator families—momentum, trend, and price action—points to a coordinated shift in selling pressure at the 30-minute level. The signal strength is rated very strong with a 90% probability, and the bearish bias is reinforced by the higher timeframes: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show very strong bearish trends (4/5), while the 1H and 2H are forming bearish trends. Only the 15-minute chart remains bullish but is choppy and weak (1/5), suggesting any short-term bounce is likely to be shallow and short-lived.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 154.61200 and support at 153.28000. The nearest resistance sits just above the current price and aligns with the retreat-down signals, making it a logical invalidation zone if price reclaims it. The support at 153.28000 is the first major downside target, and a break below that would open the door to further declines given the strong higher-timeframe trends. The confluence of bearish signals across multiple timeframes and indicator groups provides a high-confidence setup, but traders should watch for any failure to hold below the resistance level or a sudden shift in the 15-minute momentum that could stall the move.
Catalysts
  • Strong alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes, from 30M up to 1D, with 4/5 strength ratings on the higher frames.
  • Multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, and candlestick) all firing in the same direction, indicating high confluence.
  • The retreat-down signals from EMA, DEMA, KAMA, and MA suggest persistent selling pressure from trend-following systems.
  • The 15-minute bullish bias is weak and choppy, offering little resistance to the dominant bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • The nearest resistance at 154.61200 is close by; a strong bounce above this level would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish, and if it strengthens, it could pull price back up and stall the 30-minute downtrend.
  • With so many signals already fired, there is a risk of overextension—momentum could fade quickly, leading to a consolidation phase.
  • The signal probability is high, but no setup is guaranteed; watch for any reversal candlestick patterns near support to signal a potential bounce.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 88%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-11 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 154.61200 2026-09-11
R2 154.66400 2026-09-10
S1 153.28000 2026-09-10
S2 153.10000 2026-09-09
S3 152.94000 2026-09-09

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