USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
88%
▲ Bullish 12% (4.83)
▼ Bearish 88% (35.79)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.96 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Exit | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | Takuri Line | candlestick | 1.05 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.92 |
| ▲ | Dragonfly Doji | candlestick | 0.91 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNVery strong trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart confirms strong selling momentum in USD/JPY.
- Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all in very strong bearish trends, aligning with the 30-minute signal.
- Key resistance at 154.61200 is the level to watch; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
- Support at 153.28000 is the first major downside target, with further declines possible if broken.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat-down confirmations from DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, and MIDPOINT. This broad alignment across indicator families—momentum, trend, and price action—points to a coordinated shift in selling pressure at the 30-minute level. The signal strength is rated very strong with a 90% probability, and the bearish bias is reinforced by the higher timeframes: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show very strong bearish trends (4/5), while the 1H and 2H are forming bearish trends. Only the 15-minute chart remains bullish but is choppy and weak (1/5), suggesting any short-term bounce is likely to be shallow and short-lived.
Key levels to monitor are resistance at 154.61200 and support at 153.28000. The nearest resistance sits just above the current price and aligns with the retreat-down signals, making it a logical invalidation zone if price reclaims it. The support at 153.28000 is the first major downside target, and a break below that would open the door to further declines given the strong higher-timeframe trends. The confluence of bearish signals across multiple timeframes and indicator groups provides a high-confidence setup, but traders should watch for any failure to hold below the resistance level or a sudden shift in the 15-minute momentum that could stall the move.
Key levels to monitor are resistance at 154.61200 and support at 153.28000. The nearest resistance sits just above the current price and aligns with the retreat-down signals, making it a logical invalidation zone if price reclaims it. The support at 153.28000 is the first major downside target, and a break below that would open the door to further declines given the strong higher-timeframe trends. The confluence of bearish signals across multiple timeframes and indicator groups provides a high-confidence setup, but traders should watch for any failure to hold below the resistance level or a sudden shift in the 15-minute momentum that could stall the move.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes, from 30M up to 1D, with 4/5 strength ratings on the higher frames.
- ▼ Multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, and candlestick) all firing in the same direction, indicating high confluence.
- ▼ The retreat-down signals from EMA, DEMA, KAMA, and MA suggest persistent selling pressure from trend-following systems.
- ▼ The 15-minute bullish bias is weak and choppy, offering little resistance to the dominant bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The nearest resistance at 154.61200 is close by; a strong bounce above this level would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish, and if it strengthens, it could pull price back up and stall the 30-minute downtrend.
- ▲ With so many signals already fired, there is a risk of overextension—momentum could fade quickly, leading to a consolidation phase.
- ▲ The signal probability is high, but no setup is guaranteed; watch for any reversal candlestick patterns near support to signal a potential bounce.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
88%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-11 19:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 154.61200 | 2026-09-11 |
| R2 | 154.66400 | 2026-09-10 |
| S1 | 153.28000 | 2026-09-10 |
| S2 | 153.10000 | 2026-09-09 |
| S3 | 152.94000 | 2026-09-09 |
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