AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
87%
▲ Bullish 13% (6.08)
▼ Bearish 87% (38.95)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.61 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.01 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.88 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | KDJ Cross Up | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 0.57 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A heavy cluster of bearish signals (trendline break, falling wedge, moving average retreats) points to continued downside momentum.
- Trend alignment is overwhelmingly bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction on the 4H and 8H charts.
- The nearest resistance at 110.63700 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
- The STOCH KD Cross Up warns of a possible short-term oversold bounce, but it is a minor counter-signal against the broader trend.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The retreat and break below a descending trendline, combined with a Falling Wedge breakdown, suggest sellers are firmly in control and that the recent consolidation has resolved to the downside. The DEMA and EMA retreats confirm that price is actively pulling away from key moving averages, while the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates that buying pressure has decisively waned. The STOCH KD Cross Up is the lone counter-signal, hinting at a short-term oversold bounce, but it is outweighed by the sheer volume of bearish triggers.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is remarkably consistent. The 4-hour chart shows an extremely strong downtrend, with the 8-hour and 2-hour charts also solidly bearish. Even the 1-day chart is starting to form a bearish trend. This multi-timeframe alignment is a powerful confirmation that the current move is not just a minor pullback but part of a larger downcycle. With the nearest resistance at 110.63700 acting as a ceiling, the path of least resistance remains lower. However, with no clear support level defined, the market is in open territory, which can lead to sharp moves but also increases the risk of a sudden reversal if buyers step in aggressively.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is remarkably consistent. The 4-hour chart shows an extremely strong downtrend, with the 8-hour and 2-hour charts also solidly bearish. Even the 1-day chart is starting to form a bearish trend. This multi-timeframe alignment is a powerful confirmation that the current move is not just a minor pullback but part of a larger downcycle. With the nearest resistance at 110.63700 acting as a ceiling, the path of least resistance remains lower. However, with no clear support level defined, the market is in open territory, which can lead to sharp moves but also increases the risk of a sudden reversal if buyers step in aggressively.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multi-timeframe trend alignment: bearish across 15m to 1D, with extremely strong and very strong trends on 4H and 8H.
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns: Trendline Break Down and Falling Wedge both confirm bearish continuation.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, DEMA, EMA) all retreating, reinforcing that sellers are in control.
- ▼ High signal probability (86%) and very strong strength rating increase confidence in the move.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a potential short-term bounce, which could temporarily stall the decline.
- ▲ No defined support level means price could be in uncharted territory, but it also leaves room for a sharp, unexpected reversal.
- ▲ The 1D timeframe shows only a 'forming' bearish trend, so a daily-level rally could quickly undo the short-term setup.
- ▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 110.63700 would invalidate the bearish thesis and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
87%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-14 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 110.63700 | 2026-09-11 |
| R2 | 110.75600 | 2026-09-11 |
| R3 | 111.00500 | 2026-09-10 |
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