AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
87%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +20%
▲ Bullish 13% (6.08) ▼ Bearish 87% (38.95)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.61
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.41
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.39
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.36
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.22
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.02
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.01
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.91
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.88
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.75
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.67
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.09
Shooting Star candlestick 0.57

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A heavy cluster of bearish signals (trendline break, falling wedge, moving average retreats) points to continued downside momentum.
  • Trend alignment is overwhelmingly bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction on the 4H and 8H charts.
  • The nearest resistance at 110.63700 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The STOCH KD Cross Up warns of a possible short-term oversold bounce, but it is a minor counter-signal against the broader trend.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing in the same direction. The retreat and break below a descending trendline, combined with a Falling Wedge breakdown, suggest sellers are firmly in control and that the recent consolidation has resolved to the downside. The DEMA and EMA retreats confirm that price is actively pulling away from key moving averages, while the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates that buying pressure has decisively waned. The STOCH KD Cross Up is the lone counter-signal, hinting at a short-term oversold bounce, but it is outweighed by the sheer volume of bearish triggers.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is remarkably consistent. The 4-hour chart shows an extremely strong downtrend, with the 8-hour and 2-hour charts also solidly bearish. Even the 1-day chart is starting to form a bearish trend. This multi-timeframe alignment is a powerful confirmation that the current move is not just a minor pullback but part of a larger downcycle. With the nearest resistance at 110.63700 acting as a ceiling, the path of least resistance remains lower. However, with no clear support level defined, the market is in open territory, which can lead to sharp moves but also increases the risk of a sudden reversal if buyers step in aggressively.
Catalysts
  • Multi-timeframe trend alignment: bearish across 15m to 1D, with extremely strong and very strong trends on 4H and 8H.
  • Confluence of chart patterns: Trendline Break Down and Falling Wedge both confirm bearish continuation.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, DEMA, EMA) all retreating, reinforcing that sellers are in control.
  • High signal probability (86%) and very strong strength rating increase confidence in the move.
Risk Factors
  • The STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a potential short-term bounce, which could temporarily stall the decline.
  • No defined support level means price could be in uncharted territory, but it also leaves room for a sharp, unexpected reversal.
  • The 1D timeframe shows only a 'forming' bearish trend, so a daily-level rally could quickly undo the short-term setup.
  • A break back above the nearest resistance at 110.63700 would invalidate the bearish thesis and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-14 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.63700 2026-09-11
R2 110.75600 2026-09-11
R3 111.00500 2026-09-10

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