USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

2026-09-14 16:00 UTC · 22 hours ago

BUY

97%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

▲ Bullish 97% (39.45) ▼ Bearish 3% (1.09)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	3.11
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	3.00
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.88
▲	Trendline Break Upcontinuation	trendline	2.73
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.51
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)continuation	fibonacci	2.50
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.44
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	Rectanglestate only	chart_pattern	1.50
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.08
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 1H timeframe with 14 signals firing together.
Upside momentum is supported by lower timeframe trends (15m/30m), but higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch the 156.74700 resistance; a break could confirm further upside, while a drop below the breakout support invalidates the signal.
This is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, so manage risk accordingly.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength, triggered by a cluster of 14 signals spanning trendlines, chart patterns, and momentum indicators. The Trendline Break Up and Rectangle breakout suggest a bullish continuation, while the STOCH KD Cross Up and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) indicate renewed upside momentum. The confluence across candlestick, Fibonacci, trendline, indicator, and chart pattern groups adds conviction to the move.

However, the bullish signal is confined to the lower timeframes. The 15m and 30m trends are strongly bullish, and the 1H/2H trends are just forming, but the 4H through 1D timeframes remain bearish. This creates a classic counter-trend setup where the immediate upside may be a correction within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 156.74700 is the immediate barrier; a break above could open the path toward higher levels, but failure to hold above support at the breakout zone could invalidate the bullish case. Traders should watch the price action around these levels closely.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple signal groups (candlestick, Fibonacci, trendline, indicator, chart pattern) all aligning bullish.
▲ Trendline break and rectangle breakout indicate a bullish continuation pattern.
▲ Momentum indicators (STOCH KD cross up, moving average retreats) confirm renewed buying pressure.
▲ Strong trend scores on 15m and 30m timeframes support the immediate bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the upside may be limited to a correction.
▼ Resistance at 156.74700 is a key barrier; failure to break could lead to a reversal.
▼ If price falls back below the breakout level, the bullish signal is invalidated and a retest of lower supports is likely.
▼ Momentum could fade if the 1H trend fails to strengthen beyond the current 'forming' stage.