USD/JPY 1H SELL

· 22 hours ago
SELL
81%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +2%
▲ Bullish 19% (1.70) ▼ Bearish 81% (7.05)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Upstate only trendline 2.73
HMA Break Down indicator 2.61
T3 Break Down indicator 2.52
ALMA Break Down indicator 2.51
STC Level Cross Up indicator 2.00
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)continuation fibonacci 1.63
ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.41
SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.27
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.21
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.14
Resistance Level Retreat Downcontinuation sr 1.12
AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.09
Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.03
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.01
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.98
HMA Direction Down indicator 0.97
ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 0.76

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal on the 1H, with 89% probability, driven by a cluster of 15+ signals including Trendline Break Up, T3 Break Down, and EMA/SMA retreats.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are in very strong downtrends, aligning with the bearish bias; lower timeframes are mixed, so expect possible pullbacks.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 154.61200 as the invalidation level; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
  • Nearest support at 153.23600 is the immediate downside target; a break below could accelerate the move.
The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish triggers, led by a Trendline Break Up that has resolved downward, T3 Break Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200 and SMA 200) that confirm the loss of upside momentum. The AO Saucer Bearish and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down add momentum and trend-strength confirmation, while the ER Level Cross Down validates a break of a key level. With 89% probability and very strong strength, the confluence of 15+ signals across trendline, support/resistance, candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups points to a high-confidence bearish setup.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher frames: the 12H and 1D are in very strong downtrends (4/5), and the 4H and 8H are solidly bearish (3/5). The 1H and 2H are still bullish but only trend-forming (2/5), suggesting the immediate bias is being overridden by the larger bearish structure. The 30M is bullish but solid, and the 15M is bearish, so the intraday action is choppy. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 154.61200 (likely the invalidation zone) and nearest support at 153.23600. A sustained break below support would open the path toward lower targets, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the bearish signal.
Catalysts
  • Strong trend alignment on higher timeframes (12H and 1D both very strong bearish, 4H and 8H solid bearish) supports the bearish direction.
  • Confluence of multiple signal groups (trendline, SR, candlestick, Fibonacci, indicator) increases the reliability of the signal.
  • The AO Saucer Bearish and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down confirm bearish momentum, while the ER Level Cross Down validates a break of a key level.
  • The 1H signal strength is very strong with 89% probability, indicating high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bullish (trend forming), which could lead to a bounce or consolidation before the bearish move continues.
  • The 30M timeframe is bullish, suggesting short-term counter-trend pressure that might delay the signal.
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 154.61200 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 153.23600, the bearish momentum may fade, leading to a range-bound market.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 81%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-09-14 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 154.61200 2026-09-11
R2 154.66400 2026-09-10
R3 156.74700 2026-09-04
S1 153.23600 2026-09-11
S2 152.94000 2026-09-09
S3 152.88300 2026-09-08

Tags

Similar Signals