USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-09-14 20:00 UTC · 22 hours ago

BUY

94%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +7%

▲ Bullish 94% (38.58) ▼ Bearish 6% (2.60)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Sep 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 14× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.64
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.63
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.61
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%)continuation	fibonacci	1.60
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.26
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.22
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30M suggest a short-term bounce, but the larger trend is bearish.
Key resistance at 154.483; a break above could extend the bounce.
Support at 153.369 is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish case.
Higher timeframe trends (4H and above) are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Up, alongside a CTI OS Entry and Squeeze Zero Cross Down. These signals suggest that the recent bearish momentum is stalling and that a short-term bounce is likely. The trend mode shift from a higher timeframe trend to cycle mode further supports the idea that the pair is entering a corrective phase within a broader downtrend.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D) remain firmly bearish, with very strong trend scores on the 12H and 1D. This means the bullish signals on the 30M are likely counter-trend and should be treated as a pullback opportunity rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 154.483 is a key hurdle; a break above it would signal stronger upside, while a failure to hold the support at 153.369 could invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals (BOP, STOCH, EMA/SMA retreat, CTI, Squeeze) align on the 30M.
▲ Trend mode shift to cycle suggests a pause in the downtrend.
▲ Strong probability (87%) and very strong signal strength.
▲ Potential for a bounce toward resistance at 154.483.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could overwhelm the 30M bounce.
▼ Resistance at 154.483 is nearby and may cap upside.
▼ If price breaks below support at 153.369, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Counter-trend signals in a strong downtrend often fail; watch for momentum fade.