USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-09-14 17:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

SELL

97%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +44%

▲ Bullish 3% (1.51) ▼ Bearish 97% (45.37)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.27
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.22
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.32
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.12
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a high-probability short-term sell opportunity.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, while lower timeframes are bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
The nearest support at 153.36900 is the immediate downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.
The signal's moderate strength and 74% probability suggest a decent edge, but traders should manage risk carefully.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down. This confluence suggests that the recent short-term upward move is losing momentum and that sellers are stepping in. The signal carries a 74% probability with moderate strength, indicating a reasonably solid but not overwhelming edge.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on higher timeframes. The 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour charts are bullish, with the 15-minute and 30-minute showing very strong trends, while the 2-hour is forming a bullish trend. However, the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bearish, with the 12-hour and daily showing very strong bearish trends. This suggests that the current sell signal is likely a pullback within a larger downtrend, and the bearish momentum on higher timeframes could reinforce the downside. The nearest support is at 153.36900, which is a key level to watch; a break below could open the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, CMO, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, HMA) are all pointing down, creating strong confluence.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, supporting the sell signal.
▼ The trendline retreat down pattern adds a technical confirmation of bearish momentum.
▼ The signal is aligned with the longer-term downtrend, increasing the likelihood of continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal against the sell signal.
▲ The nearest support at 153.36900 may act as a strong floor, potentially halting the decline.
▲ If the price breaks above the recent swing high, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the signal's moderate strength is not backed by volume or news.