USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

2026-09-14 08:00 UTC · 23 hours ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

▲ Bullish 100% (34.57) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MA Break Up	indicator	3.28
▲	HT TRENDLINE Break Up	indicator	3.12
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	2.94
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.65
▲	MIDPOINT Break Up	indicator	2.64
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.56
▲	SMA Break Up	indicator	2.53
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	2.42
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.41
▼	Trendline Break Downstate only	trendline	2.37
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	2.22
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.62
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.52
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.20
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)state only	fibonacci	1.14
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 4H chart, with multiple zero-cross and RSI midline signals aligning.
Counter-trend signal: higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are firmly bearish, so this may be a retracement.
Key resistance at 154.66400; a break could open the door for further upside, but failure may lead to a reversal.
Watch support at 152.88300; a close below would invalidate the bullish thesis.

The 4H USD/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with 82% probability and strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators crossing their zero lines (CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) and RSI crossing above its midline. This is reinforced by a trendline break down (a break of a descending trendline, which is a bullish reversal signal) and a WILLR overbought entry, indicating strong buying pressure. The confluence of these signals suggests a potential shift from the prevailing bearish trend on higher timeframes to a bullish correction or reversal on the 4H chart.

However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, with very strong trend scores on 12H and 1D. This creates a conflict: the 4H signal is counter-trend relative to the larger picture. The immediate resistance at 154.66400 is a key hurdle; a break above it could signal a deeper retracement, while failure to hold above support at 152.88300 would invalidate the bullish setup. The alignment of lower timeframes (15m-2h) all bullish supports the momentum, but traders should watch for the higher timeframe trend to reassert itself.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of momentum oscillators (CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing above zero, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ RSI midline cross up and WILLR overbought entry suggest sustained bullish momentum.
▲ Trendline break down on the 4H chart is a classic bullish reversal pattern.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are all bullish, providing short-term trend alignment.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are strongly bearish; the 4H signal may be a counter-trend bounce that could fail.
▼ Resistance at 154.66400 is nearby and could cap upside if not broken with conviction.
▼ Momentum oscillators are overbought (WILLR), increasing the risk of a pullback or reversal.
▼ A break below support at 152.88300 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.