USD/JPY – 8H – BUY

2026-09-14 08:00 UTC · 22 hours ago

BUY

96%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 69% historisch

▲ Bullish 96% (22.17) ▼ Bearish 4% (0.89)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	3.14
▲	DEMA Break Up	indicator	3.09
▲	MACD Hist Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.02
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	3.00
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.63
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	2.18
▼	Trendline Break Downstate only	trendline	2.03
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.86
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)state only	fibonacci	1.66
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.54
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.39
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.97
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 8H, but higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are strongly bearish, so treat as a counter-trend bounce.
Key resistance at 160.38900 is the immediate upside target; a break above it could signal a larger reversal.
Support at 152.88300 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.
Indicator cluster (Aroon, Stoch, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands) aligns for a bounce, but weak DX trend suggests the move may lack strong momentum.

The USD/JPY 8H signal is a strong bullish confluence, firing a cluster of momentum and trend indicators after a trendline break, Aroon cross up, and a weak DX trend. The signal suggests a potential reversal from the prevailing bearish structure, with the nearest resistance at 160.38900 and support at 152.88300. The bullish case is supported by a broad indicator alignment, but the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, indicating the move is counter-trend.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: 30M and 1H are bullish, while 15M and 4H are bearish, and the daily trend is strongly bearish. This suggests the bullish signal is a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 160.38900, which if broken could signal a stronger reversal, and the support at 152.88300, which if lost would invalidate the bullish case. The signal's strength and probability are high, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline break and Aroon cross up indicate a shift in short-term momentum.
▲ Multiple oscillators (Stoch, Williams %R) are in oversold or turning up, supporting a bounce.
▲ Bollinger Bands middle cross up suggests price reclaiming the mean, a bullish sign.
▲ Signal probability is high (82%) and strength is strong, indicating robust confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are strongly bearish, so the bullish signal may be a retracement within a downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 160.38900 is close; if it holds, the bounce could fail.
▼ DX trend weak indicates the trend is not strong, so momentum may fade quickly.
▼ A break below support at 152.88300 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.