AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY

2026-09-15 00:05 UTC · 1 hour ago

BUY

86%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 36% historisch

▲ Bullish 86% (5.94) ▼ Bearish 14% (1.01)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.28
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.16
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.07
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.01
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.89
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.84
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.82
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 4H suggests a short-term bounce, but it is counter to the prevailing bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Resistance at 114.667 is the immediate target; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 110.269 is the critical invalidation level — losing it would negate the bullish signal.
Expect choppy price action; the 1H and 30M are sideways, so the bounce may be shallow.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, CTI OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, KDJ OB Entry, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. This confluence suggests a strong short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. The higher timeframes (2H through 12H) all register very strong bearish trends, while the 1H and 30M are choppy/sideways, and the 15M is bearish but trend-forming. This mixed alignment means the buy signal is counter-trend on the higher timeframes, so any upside is likely corrective rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 114.667 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it could open the door to further recovery, while support at 110.269 remains the key downside invalidation zone.

Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a downtrend, not a trend change. The bullish signals are strong and clustered, but they are firing against a dominant bearish structure. Watch for price to hold above the recent swing low and push through resistance to confirm momentum. If the 4H and 8H trends remain firmly bearish, the upside may be limited and the signal could fade quickly.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, CTI, ERI, KDJ, QSTICK) all turning bullish simultaneously provides strong confluence.
▲ The Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds a visual confirmation of buyer momentum.
▲ The 15M trend is forming, which could be the first sign of a shift in the very short-term direction.
▲ The 4H signal strength is rated 'very strong' with 85% probability, indicating high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (2H-12H) are in very strong bearish trends, which could overwhelm the 4H bullish attempt.
▼ The 1H and 30M are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear momentum that could stall the bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above 114.667, the signal may fade and the downtrend could resume.
▼ A drop below support at 110.269 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a sharp decline.