USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-09-15 07:00 UTC · 17 hours ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability

⚡ Confluence +11%

▲ Bullish 100% (46.40) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Sep 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.33
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.25
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	2.00
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.26
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30m chart, with 93% probability and very strong strength.
Short-term trends (15m, 30m) are bullish but still forming, while higher timeframes (4h and above) are bearish.
Watch resistance at 154.996; a break could extend gains, but failure may lead to a pullback.
Support at 153.979 is the key invalidation level for the bullish setup.

A dense cluster of bullish signals has fired on the 30-minute USD/JPY chart, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat-based signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, HT TRENDLINE). This indicates strong buying momentum and a likely continuation of the short-term uptrend. The signal probability is 93% with very strong strength, suggesting high conviction among the indicators.

However, the higher timeframes paint a conflicting picture. While the 15m, 30m, and 1h trends are bullish (though still forming), the 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d trends are bearish and solid, with the 12h and 1d showing very strong bearish trends. This suggests that the current bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 154.996 and support at 153.979. A break above resistance could signal further upside, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple retreat-based signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) confirm bullish momentum alignment on the 30m chart.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate improving buying pressure and momentum.
▲ Short-term trend scores on 15m and 30m are bullish, supporting the immediate move.
▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (93%) increase confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4h to 1d) show solid bearish trends, suggesting this may be a counter-trend rally.
▼ The 1h and 2h trends are only mildly bullish and choppy, lacking strong trend confirmation.
▼ A drop below support at 153.979 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a downside move.
▼ Resistance at 154.996 is nearby and could cap upside if selling pressure emerges.