AUD/CAD – 2H – BUY
BUY 1× UPDATED
17 hours ago
59.3 %
↑ +24.0 zur Vorkerze
STRONG
⚡ Confluence +11%
Intraday
▲ Bullish 90 % (30.46)
▼ Bearish 10 % (3.36)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 90.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout | indicator | 2.73 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.59 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▲ | ALMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.35 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 2H chart, with all indicators pointing to a retreat up.
- Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) show solid bullish trends, supporting the long side.
- Higher timeframes (4h-1d) are bullish but choppy, so expect potential resistance at 0.99901.
- Watch the nearest support at 0.98997 as the key invalidation level for this trade.
A dense cluster of moving-average and trendline retreat-up signals has fired on the AUD/CAD 2-hour chart, all pointing to a bullish continuation. The signal groups show a strong alignment across multiple short-term timeframes—15m through 2h all exhibit solid bullish trends (3/5), indicating that the recent pullback is being bought with conviction. The retreat-up nature of the signals suggests that price is bouncing off a rising trendline and key moving averages, which often marks a higher-low formation within an ongoing uptrend.
However, the higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bullish but choppy and sideways (1/5), which tempers the strength of the move. This suggests that while the immediate trend is up, the broader picture lacks a clear directional push. The nearest resistance at 0.99901 is the immediate upside target, while the nearest support at 0.98997 provides a key invalidation level. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, but a failure to hold above the support would undermine the bullish case.
However, the higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bullish but choppy and sideways (1/5), which tempers the strength of the move. This suggests that while the immediate trend is up, the broader picture lacks a clear directional push. The nearest resistance at 0.99901 is the immediate upside target, while the nearest support at 0.98997 provides a key invalidation level. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, but a failure to hold above the support would undermine the bullish case.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple moving averages and trendline retreat-up signals align, indicating strong buying pressure.
- ▲ Consistent bullish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, all rated solid.
- ▲ Price is holding above key support, with a clear higher-low structure on the short-term charts.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength (100% probability) suggests high conviction in the bullish move.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4h-1d) are choppy and sideways, which could limit upside or lead to a range-bound market.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.98997 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.99901 is nearby and may cap gains if not decisively broken.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the short-term trend fails to push through the resistance level.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
90%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-18 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.99901 | 2026-09-07 |
| S1 | 0.98997 | 2026-09-16 |
| S2 | 0.98930 | 2026-09-14 |
| S3 | 0.98900 | 2026-09-11 |