AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 16:00 UTC 20 hours ago

59.3 % ↑ +3.6 zur Vorkerze

STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 16 % (2.19) ▼ Bearish 84 % (11.93)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

51.6% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 84.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	3.06
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.72
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.66
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.18
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.13
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.08
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.78
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.76
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.68
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.26
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.25
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought indicators (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) have exited, signaling a potential reversal to the downside.
The bearish SAR flip and T3 break down add weight to the sell signal, but the higher timeframes are still bullish, so this may be a pullback.
Watch the nearest support at 110.42400; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a move back above resistance at 114.66700 would invalidate the signal.

The 2H SELL signal on AUD/JPY is driven by a cluster of overbought exit indicators—CCI, RSI, STOCH, and WILLR all flashing OB Exit—alongside a bearish SAR flip and a break down through the upper Bollinger Band. This suggests the recent upward push has run out of steam and price is likely to retrace. The signal is reinforced by a T3 Break Down and a bearish HT Phasor Inphase Cross Up, adding momentum and cycle-based confirmation to the downside.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish in the short term. The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bearish, with the 15m and 30m showing solid trends, while the 2H and higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) remain bullish. This divergence suggests the sell signal is a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 114.66700 and support at 110.42400. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of four overbought exit signals (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) indicates strong bearish momentum.
▼ Bearish SAR flip and T3 break down provide additional confirmation of a trend reversal.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are aligned bearish, supporting the sell signal.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band suggests a mean-reversion move is likely.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are still bullish, so the sell could be a counter-trend move that may fizzle.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 114.66700, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ The overbought readings could persist in a strong uptrend, leading to a false signal.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price stalls near support without a clear break, leading to a sideways consolidation.