AUD/USD – 8H – SELL
SELL NEW
20 hours ago
59.3 %
– erste Kerze
VERY STRONG
Swing
▲ Bullish 11 % (1.49)
▼ Bearish 89 % (11.93)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
50.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 88.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(18 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | AO Saucer Bullish | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.10 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.80 |
| ▼ | SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down | indicator3 | 0.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 8H timeframe with high probability and very strong strength.
- Multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align to confirm the downtrend.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trends on 15M and 8H.
- Key resistance at 0.72374 and support at 0.69218 are the levels to watch.
The AUD/USD 8H signal is strongly bearish, with an 88% probability and very strong strength, backed by a confluence of indicator and candlestick signals. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while the DEMA Retreat Down and EMA Retreat Down indicate that price is pulling back from moving averages in a downtrend. The Bearish Harami and Belt Hold Bearish candlestick patterns add further bearish confirmation. The AO Saucer Bullish suggests a potential short-term bounce, but the overall momentum remains to the downside.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, ranging from choppy/sideways on the 1H to solid on the 15M and 8H. This alignment supports the bearish outlook. The nearest resistance at 0.72374 is a key level to watch; a break above it would signal a potential reversal. The nearest support at 0.69218 is the next downside target. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the trend's continuation or invalidation.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, ranging from choppy/sideways on the 1H to solid on the 15M and 8H. This alignment supports the bearish outlook. The nearest resistance at 0.72374 is a key level to watch; a break above it would signal a potential reversal. The nearest support at 0.69218 is the next downside target. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the trend's continuation or invalidation.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of bearish signals across indicators and candlestick patterns.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, reinforcing the downtrend.
- ▼ Price retreating from moving averages (DEMA and EMA) adds to bearish momentum.
- ▼ Strong trend scores on 15M and 8H timeframes support the signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The AO Saucer Bullish hints at possible short-term upward pressure, which could cause a bounce.
- ▲ The 1H timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, indicating a lack of clear momentum there.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.72374 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ If the trend loses strength on lower timeframes, the signal could fade.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
8H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
89%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-18 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.72374 | 2026-09-09 |
| S1 | 0.69218 | 2026-07-29 |
| S2 | 0.69061 | 2026-07-08 |
| S3 | 0.68649 | 2026-06-30 |