EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED
16 hours ago
55.7 % ↑ +20.4 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 28 % (6.54) ▼ Bearish 72 % (16.41)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
51.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 71.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 17 Kerzen
EUR/AUD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 1h 72%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.78
EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.75
CHOP Choppy indicator 1.72
QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.53
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.32
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.28
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.25
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.18
SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.17
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.15
Evening Star candlestick 1.13
KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.05
KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.01
BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 0.94
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.93
HMA Direction Down indicator 0.91
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.76
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.65

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • 23 bearish signals fired on the 1H chart, including crosses down on CCI, MOM, ROC, STOCH KD, and a WILLR oversold entry.
  • Trend is bearish across nearly all timeframes, but mostly choppy/sideways, so expect range-bound price action.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.62019, support at 1.61159. A break of support confirms the bearish bias; reclaiming resistance invalidates it.
  • The 4H timeframe is bullish and trend-forming, which could limit downside or cause a pullback.
The EUR/AUD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with 23 indicators aligning on a SELL direction. The Zero Cross Down events on BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and STOCH KD, combined with a WILLR oversold entry and a BBANDS middle band cross down, point to a broad-based loss of upside momentum. The candlestick pattern group reinforces the bearish read, suggesting that sellers are in control at the current session. The confluence across multiple oscillator families (momentum, trend, volatility) makes this a high-probability setup, though the very strong probability score of 96% warrants caution against overleveraging.

Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish, with every timeframe from 15 minutes up to 1 day showing a bearish trend, albeit mostly in a choppy or sideways mode. The only exception is the 4H, which is bullish and trend-forming, creating a potential conflict. The nearest resistance sits at 1.62019, while support is at 1.61159. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the choppy nature of most timeframes, traders should watch for a decisive move rather than a sustained trend.
Catalysts
  • Broad alignment of momentum and trend indicators all pointing down on the 1H chart.
  • Multiple Zero Cross Down signals (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) indicate a synchronized loss of upside momentum.
  • WILLR oversold entry and BBANDS middle band cross down add volatility-based confirmation.
  • Bearish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes supports the sell signal.
Risk Factors
  • The 4H timeframe is bullish and trend-forming, which could lead to a bounce or reversal against the 1H signal.
  • Most timeframes are choppy/sideways, suggesting the market may not have a strong directional push, increasing the risk of false signals.
  • If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.62019, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • The very high probability score (96%) may indicate an overextended move, raising the risk of a snap-back rally.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 72%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-18 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62019 2026-09-16
R2 1.62033 2026-09-16
R3 1.62079 2026-09-15
S1 1.61159 2026-09-17
S2 1.60820 2026-09-09
S3 1.60802 2026-09-08

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