EUR/AUD – 30M – BUY

BUY 12× UPDATED CLOSED
17 hours ago
Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 4.6 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 9.0 % (Forex, 175 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 22 × 30m 95%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.38
TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.23
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.22
Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 0.79
Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.74

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals that, taken together, suggest a short-term bounce may be underway. The BOP Zero Cross Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down both indicate improving buying pressure, while the TEMA Retreat Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up point to a shift in momentum. The candlestick patterns—Bullish Harami Cross and Long Legged Doji—reinforce the idea that sellers are losing control and a reversal could be forming. However, this is happening against a backdrop of bearish trends across all timeframes, with the 30-minute showing the strongest bearish trend at 3/5. The signal is therefore best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, with the nearest resistance at 1.61453 and support at 1.61005 providing the key boundaries.

The confluence of multiple indicator types—momentum, trend, and candlestick—gives the signal a high probability rating of 78% and strong strength. The Long Legged Doji and Bullish Harami Cross are classic reversal patterns that often appear at the end of a pullback, and their appearance alongside the BOP and ERI crossovers suggests a coordinated shift. Still, the broader bearish context means the upside is likely limited. A move above 1.61453 would be the first sign that the bounce has legs, while a break below 1.61005 would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the downtrend. Traders should watch for how price reacts at these levels, especially given the conflicting lower timeframe trend on the 15-minute chart.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-18 11:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61453 2026-09-18
R2 1.61528 2026-09-17
R3 1.62019 2026-09-16
S1 1.61005 2026-09-18

Tags

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