EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 20:30 UTC 22 hours ago

35.3 % ↓ −4.4 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 4 % (1.30) ▼ Bearish 96 % (32.04)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.77
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.89
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.89
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing down on the 30-minute chart.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, though the 15-minute and daily are choppy, indicating the trend is still developing.
Key resistance at 1.61453 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
Immediate support at 1.60855 is the first downside target; watch for a break to confirm continuation.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI all crossing below their zero or midline levels, alongside EMA 200 and KAMA retreats. This confluence indicates a broad-based shift in selling pressure, with multiple independent indicators aligning to confirm the bearish bias. The signal strength is rated very strong with an 88% probability, reflecting the high degree of alignment across the momentum and trend-following tools.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from the 15-minute up to the 8-hour, though the 15-minute and 12-hour/daily are described as choppy or sideways, suggesting that the trend is still forming rather than fully mature. The nearest resistance at 1.61453 acts as a key invalidation level—if price reclaims this, the bearish thesis weakens. On the downside, the nearest support at 1.60855 is the immediate target, and a break below could open further downside. Traders should watch for price action at these levels to gauge whether the momentum persists or stalls.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing down simultaneously, indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ EMA 200 and KAMA retreats confirm the bearish trend on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Bearish alignment across timeframes from 15m to 8h supports the continuation of the move.
▼ Very strong signal strength (88% probability) suggests high conviction among the indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and daily timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or a range-bound market.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.61453 resistance, the bearish signal is invalidated and a reversal may occur.
▲ The trend is still forming (2/5) on most timeframes, meaning momentum could fade if the broader context does not support a sustained move.
▲ Nearby support at 1.60855 may act as a floor, causing a bounce that could stall the decline.